Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2
Аутори
Malinović-Milićević, Slavica B.Mihailović, Dragutin T.
Drešković, Nusret M.
Đurđević, Vladimir S.
Mimić, Gordan I.
Arsenić, Ilija D.
Чланак у часопису (Објављена верзија)
Метаподаци
Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт
In this article we considered the extreme temperatures, precipitation and UV-B radiation in Vojvodina region, Serbia. We describe the actual climate conditions for the period 1981-2007 and applied a dynamic downscaling technique using the EBU-POM regional coupled climate model under the SRES-A2 scenario to assess the changes for the period 2021-2100. The results indicate that a warmer and drier climate in the Vojvodina region can be expected at the end of the century. Projection of climate indicates to a strong increase in the mean annual minimum temperatures, and much smaller increase in the mean annual maximum temperatures. The increase of both extreme temperatures is predicted to be the highest in the winter and the lowest in the summer. Mean annual precipitation is projected to increase toward the end of the first half of the 21st century and to decrease for the last 30 years of the 21st century. Precipitation amount will be the highest during the winter and spring. The model simu...lations show that, by the end of this century, annual mean UV-B dose will recover by 5.2%. Recovery will be faster in the first half of the 21st century and more slowly later on. The UV-B doses recovery is expected to be the highest during the autumn and spring.
Кључне речи:
climate change / temperature / precipitation / UV radiation / Vojvodina Region / SerbiaИзвор:
Thermal Science, 2015, 19, 2, 289-298Издавач:
- Belgrade : Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences
Финансирање / пројекти:
- Истраживање климатских промена и њиховог утицаја на животну средину - праћење утицаја, адаптација и ублажавање (RS-MESTD-Integrated and Interdisciplinary Research (IIR or III)-43007)
DOI: 10.2298/TSCI141207031M
ISSN: 0354-9836 (Print); 2334-7163 (Online)
WoS: 000369558800005
Scopus: 2-s2.0-84957794962
Институција/група
Географски институт „Јован Цвијић“ САНУ / Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijić SASATY - JOUR AU - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica B. AU - Mihailović, Dragutin T. AU - Drešković, Nusret M. AU - Đurđević, Vladimir S. AU - Mimić, Gordan I. AU - Arsenić, Ilija D. PY - 2015 UR - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/13851 AB - In this article we considered the extreme temperatures, precipitation and UV-B radiation in Vojvodina region, Serbia. We describe the actual climate conditions for the period 1981-2007 and applied a dynamic downscaling technique using the EBU-POM regional coupled climate model under the SRES-A2 scenario to assess the changes for the period 2021-2100. The results indicate that a warmer and drier climate in the Vojvodina region can be expected at the end of the century. Projection of climate indicates to a strong increase in the mean annual minimum temperatures, and much smaller increase in the mean annual maximum temperatures. The increase of both extreme temperatures is predicted to be the highest in the winter and the lowest in the summer. Mean annual precipitation is projected to increase toward the end of the first half of the 21st century and to decrease for the last 30 years of the 21st century. Precipitation amount will be the highest during the winter and spring. The model simulations show that, by the end of this century, annual mean UV-B dose will recover by 5.2%. Recovery will be faster in the first half of the 21st century and more slowly later on. The UV-B doses recovery is expected to be the highest during the autumn and spring. PB - Belgrade : Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences T2 - Thermal Science T1 - Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2 SP - 289 EP - 298 VL - 19 IS - 2 DO - 10.2298/TSCI141207031M UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851 ER -
@article{ author = "Malinović-Milićević, Slavica B. and Mihailović, Dragutin T. and Drešković, Nusret M. and Đurđević, Vladimir S. and Mimić, Gordan I. and Arsenić, Ilija D.", year = "2015", abstract = "In this article we considered the extreme temperatures, precipitation and UV-B radiation in Vojvodina region, Serbia. We describe the actual climate conditions for the period 1981-2007 and applied a dynamic downscaling technique using the EBU-POM regional coupled climate model under the SRES-A2 scenario to assess the changes for the period 2021-2100. The results indicate that a warmer and drier climate in the Vojvodina region can be expected at the end of the century. Projection of climate indicates to a strong increase in the mean annual minimum temperatures, and much smaller increase in the mean annual maximum temperatures. The increase of both extreme temperatures is predicted to be the highest in the winter and the lowest in the summer. Mean annual precipitation is projected to increase toward the end of the first half of the 21st century and to decrease for the last 30 years of the 21st century. Precipitation amount will be the highest during the winter and spring. The model simulations show that, by the end of this century, annual mean UV-B dose will recover by 5.2%. Recovery will be faster in the first half of the 21st century and more slowly later on. The UV-B doses recovery is expected to be the highest during the autumn and spring.", publisher = "Belgrade : Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences", journal = "Thermal Science", title = "Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2", pages = "289-298", volume = "19", number = "2", doi = "10.2298/TSCI141207031M", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851" }
Malinović-Milićević, S. B., Mihailović, D. T., Drešković, N. M., Đurđević, V. S., Mimić, G. I.,& Arsenić, I. D.. (2015). Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2. in Thermal Science Belgrade : Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences., 19(2), 289-298. https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI141207031M https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851
Malinović-Milićević SB, Mihailović DT, Drešković NM, Đurđević VS, Mimić GI, Arsenić ID. Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2. in Thermal Science. 2015;19(2):289-298. doi:10.2298/TSCI141207031M https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851 .
Malinović-Milićević, Slavica B., Mihailović, Dragutin T., Drešković, Nusret M., Đurđević, Vladimir S., Mimić, Gordan I., Arsenić, Ilija D., "Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2" in Thermal Science, 19, no. 2 (2015):289-298, https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI141207031M ., https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851 .