Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)

2015
Authors
Ducić, VladanMilenković, Milan

Milijašević, Dragana
Vujačić, Duško M.
Bjeljac, Željko

Lović, Suzana L.

Gajić, Mirjana
Anđelković, Goran
Đorđević, Aleksandar
Article (Published version)
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature (0.039 degrees C per year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February. A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years), and February (49 years). The highest correlations be...tween water temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60), the AMO in autumn (0.52), and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water temperature of the Danube.
Keywords:
hiatus / Danube / water temperature / air temperature / NAO / AMOSource:
Thermal Science, 2015, 19, S467-S476Publisher:
- Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd
Funding / projects:
- Geography of Serbia (RS-47007)
DOI: 10.2298/TSCI150430133D
ISSN: 0354-9836
WoS: 000369558800022
Scopus: 2-s2.0-84957812061
Institution/Community
Географски институт „Јован Цвијић“ САНУ / Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijić SASATY - JOUR AU - Ducić, Vladan AU - Milenković, Milan AU - Milijašević, Dragana AU - Vujačić, Duško M. AU - Bjeljac, Željko AU - Lović, Suzana L. AU - Gajić, Mirjana AU - Anđelković, Goran AU - Đorđević, Aleksandar PY - 2015 UR - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12563 AB - The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature (0.039 degrees C per year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February. A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years), and February (49 years). The highest correlations between water temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60), the AMO in autumn (0.52), and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water temperature of the Danube. PB - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd T2 - Thermal Science T1 - Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia) SP - S467 EP - S476 VL - 19 DO - 10.2298/TSCI150430133D UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563 ER -
@article{ author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan and Milijašević, Dragana and Vujačić, Duško M. and Bjeljac, Željko and Lović, Suzana L. and Gajić, Mirjana and Anđelković, Goran and Đorđević, Aleksandar", year = "2015", abstract = "The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature (0.039 degrees C per year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February. A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years), and February (49 years). The highest correlations between water temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60), the AMO in autumn (0.52), and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water temperature of the Danube.", publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd", journal = "Thermal Science", title = "Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)", pages = "S467-S476", volume = "19", doi = "10.2298/TSCI150430133D", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563" }
Ducić, V., Milenković, M., Milijašević, D., Vujačić, D. M., Bjeljac, Ž., Lović, S. L., Gajić, M., Anđelković, G.,& Đorđević, A.. (2015). Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia). in Thermal Science Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd., 19, S467-S476. https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430133D https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563
Ducić V, Milenković M, Milijašević D, Vujačić DM, Bjeljac Ž, Lović SL, Gajić M, Anđelković G, Đorđević A. Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia). in Thermal Science. 2015;19:S467-S476. doi:10.2298/TSCI150430133D https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563 .
Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, Milijašević, Dragana, Vujačić, Duško M., Bjeljac, Željko, Lović, Suzana L., Gajić, Mirjana, Anđelković, Goran, Đorđević, Aleksandar, "Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)" in Thermal Science, 19 (2015):S467-S476, https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430133D ., https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563 .