Studying climate change and its influence on environment: impacts, adaptation and mitigation

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info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MESTD/Integrated and Interdisciplinary Research (IIR or III)/43007/RS//

Studying climate change and its influence on environment: impacts, adaptation and mitigation (en)
Истраживање климатских промена и њиховог утицаја на животну средину - праћење утицаја, адаптација и ублажавање (sr)
Istraživanje klimatskih promena i njihovog uticaja na životnu sredinu - praćenje uticaja, adaptacija i ublažavanje (sr_RS)
Authors

Publications

Analysis of daily streamflow complexity by Kolmogorov measures and Lyapunov exponent

Mihailović, Dragutin T.; Nikolić-Đorić, Emilija; Arsenić, Ilija; Malinović-Milićević, Slavica; Singh, Vijay P.; Stošić, Tatijana; Stošić, Borko

(The Netherlands : Elsevier B.V., 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihailović, Dragutin T.
AU  - Nikolić-Đorić, Emilija
AU  - Arsenić, Ilija
AU  - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica
AU  - Singh, Vijay P.
AU  - Stošić, Tatijana
AU  - Stošić, Borko
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/13303
AB  - Analysis of daily streamflow variability in space and time is important for water resources planning, development, and management. The natural variability of streamflow is being complicated by anthropogenic influences and climate change, which may introduce additional complexity into streamflow records. To address the complexity in streamflow, daily discharge data recorded during the period 1989–2016 at twelve gauging stations on Brazos River in Texas (USA) were used to derive a set of novel quantitative tools: Kolmogorov complexity (KC) and its derivative-associated measures to assess complexity, and Lyapunov time (LT) to assess predictability. It was found that all daily discharge series exhibited long memory with an increasing down-flow tendency, while the randomness of the series at individual sites could not be definitively concluded. All Kolmogorov complexity measures had relatively small values with the exception of the USGS (United States Geological Survey) 08088610 station at Graford, Texas, which exhibited the highest values of the complexity measures. This finding may
be attributed to the elevated effect of human activities at Graford, and proportionally lesser effect at other stations. In addition, complexity tended to decrease downflow, meaning that larger catchments were generally less influenced by anthropogenic activities. The correction on randomness of Lyapunov time (quantifying predictability) was found to be inversely proportional to the Kolmogorov complexity, which strengthened our conclusion regarding the effect of anthropogenic activities, considering that KC and LT were distinct measures, based on rather different techniques.
PB  - The Netherlands : Elsevier B.V.
T2  - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
T1  - Analysis of daily streamflow complexity by Kolmogorov measures and Lyapunov exponent
SP  - 290
EP  - 303
VL  - 525
DO  - 10.1016/j.physa.2019.03.041
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13303
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihailović, Dragutin T. and Nikolić-Đorić, Emilija and Arsenić, Ilija and Malinović-Milićević, Slavica and Singh, Vijay P. and Stošić, Tatijana and Stošić, Borko",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Analysis of daily streamflow variability in space and time is important for water resources planning, development, and management. The natural variability of streamflow is being complicated by anthropogenic influences and climate change, which may introduce additional complexity into streamflow records. To address the complexity in streamflow, daily discharge data recorded during the period 1989–2016 at twelve gauging stations on Brazos River in Texas (USA) were used to derive a set of novel quantitative tools: Kolmogorov complexity (KC) and its derivative-associated measures to assess complexity, and Lyapunov time (LT) to assess predictability. It was found that all daily discharge series exhibited long memory with an increasing down-flow tendency, while the randomness of the series at individual sites could not be definitively concluded. All Kolmogorov complexity measures had relatively small values with the exception of the USGS (United States Geological Survey) 08088610 station at Graford, Texas, which exhibited the highest values of the complexity measures. This finding may
be attributed to the elevated effect of human activities at Graford, and proportionally lesser effect at other stations. In addition, complexity tended to decrease downflow, meaning that larger catchments were generally less influenced by anthropogenic activities. The correction on randomness of Lyapunov time (quantifying predictability) was found to be inversely proportional to the Kolmogorov complexity, which strengthened our conclusion regarding the effect of anthropogenic activities, considering that KC and LT were distinct measures, based on rather different techniques.",
publisher = "The Netherlands : Elsevier B.V.",
journal = "Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications",
title = "Analysis of daily streamflow complexity by Kolmogorov measures and Lyapunov exponent",
pages = "290-303",
volume = "525",
doi = "10.1016/j.physa.2019.03.041",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13303"
}
Mihailović, D. T., Nikolić-Đorić, E., Arsenić, I., Malinović-Milićević, S., Singh, V. P., Stošić, T.,& Stošić, B.. (2019). Analysis of daily streamflow complexity by Kolmogorov measures and Lyapunov exponent. in Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
The Netherlands : Elsevier B.V.., 525, 290-303.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2019.03.041
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13303
Mihailović DT, Nikolić-Đorić E, Arsenić I, Malinović-Milićević S, Singh VP, Stošić T, Stošić B. Analysis of daily streamflow complexity by Kolmogorov measures and Lyapunov exponent. in Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. 2019;525:290-303.
doi:10.1016/j.physa.2019.03.041
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13303 .
Mihailović, Dragutin T., Nikolić-Đorić, Emilija, Arsenić, Ilija, Malinović-Milićević, Slavica, Singh, Vijay P., Stošić, Tatijana, Stošić, Borko, "Analysis of daily streamflow complexity by Kolmogorov measures and Lyapunov exponent" in Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 525 (2019):290-303,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2019.03.041 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13303 .
1
21
16

The Choice of an Appropriate Information Dissimilarity Measure for Hierarchical Clustering of River Streamflow Time Series, Based on Calculated Lyapunov Exponent and Kolmogorov Measures

Mihailović, Dragutin T.; Nikolić-Đorić, Emilija; Malinović-Milićević, Slavica; Singh, Vijay P.; Mihailović, Anja; Stošić, Tatjana; Stošić, Borko; Drešković, Nusret

(Switzerland, Basel : MDPI, 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihailović, Dragutin T.
AU  - Nikolić-Đorić, Emilija
AU  - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica
AU  - Singh, Vijay P.
AU  - Mihailović, Anja
AU  - Stošić, Tatjana
AU  - Stošić, Borko
AU  - Drešković, Nusret
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12914
AB  - The purpose of this paper was to choose an appropriate information dissimilarity measure for hierarchical clustering of daily streamflow discharge data, from twelve gauging stations on the Brazos River in Texas (USA), for the period 1989–2016. For that purpose, we selected and compared the average-linkage clustering hierarchical algorithm based on the compression-based dissimilarity
measure (NCD), permutation distribution dissimilarity measure (PDDM), and Kolmogorov distance (KD). The algorithm was also compared with K-means clustering based on Kolmogorov complexity (KC), the highest value of Kolmogorov complexity spectrum (KCM), and the largest Lyapunov exponent (LLE). Using a dissimilarity matrix based on NCD, PDDM, and KD for daily streamflow,
the agglomerative average-linkage hierarchical algorithm was applied. The key findings of this study are that: (i) The KD clustering algorithm is the most suitable among others; (ii) ANOVA analysis shows that there exist highly significant differences between mean values of four clusters, confirming that the choice of the number of clusters was suitably done; and (iii) from the clustering we found that the predictability of streamflow data of the Brazos River given by the Lyapunov time (LT), corrected for randomness by Kolmogorov time (KT) in days, lies in the interval from two to five days.
PB  - Switzerland, Basel : MDPI
T2  - Entropy
T1  - The Choice of an Appropriate Information Dissimilarity Measure for Hierarchical Clustering of River Streamflow Time Series, Based on Calculated Lyapunov Exponent and Kolmogorov Measures
SP  - 215
VL  - 21
IS  - 2
DO  - 10.3390/e21020215
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12914
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihailović, Dragutin T. and Nikolić-Đorić, Emilija and Malinović-Milićević, Slavica and Singh, Vijay P. and Mihailović, Anja and Stošić, Tatjana and Stošić, Borko and Drešković, Nusret",
year = "2019",
abstract = "The purpose of this paper was to choose an appropriate information dissimilarity measure for hierarchical clustering of daily streamflow discharge data, from twelve gauging stations on the Brazos River in Texas (USA), for the period 1989–2016. For that purpose, we selected and compared the average-linkage clustering hierarchical algorithm based on the compression-based dissimilarity
measure (NCD), permutation distribution dissimilarity measure (PDDM), and Kolmogorov distance (KD). The algorithm was also compared with K-means clustering based on Kolmogorov complexity (KC), the highest value of Kolmogorov complexity spectrum (KCM), and the largest Lyapunov exponent (LLE). Using a dissimilarity matrix based on NCD, PDDM, and KD for daily streamflow,
the agglomerative average-linkage hierarchical algorithm was applied. The key findings of this study are that: (i) The KD clustering algorithm is the most suitable among others; (ii) ANOVA analysis shows that there exist highly significant differences between mean values of four clusters, confirming that the choice of the number of clusters was suitably done; and (iii) from the clustering we found that the predictability of streamflow data of the Brazos River given by the Lyapunov time (LT), corrected for randomness by Kolmogorov time (KT) in days, lies in the interval from two to five days.",
publisher = "Switzerland, Basel : MDPI",
journal = "Entropy",
title = "The Choice of an Appropriate Information Dissimilarity Measure for Hierarchical Clustering of River Streamflow Time Series, Based on Calculated Lyapunov Exponent and Kolmogorov Measures",
pages = "215",
volume = "21",
number = "2",
doi = "10.3390/e21020215",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12914"
}
Mihailović, D. T., Nikolić-Đorić, E., Malinović-Milićević, S., Singh, V. P., Mihailović, A., Stošić, T., Stošić, B.,& Drešković, N.. (2019). The Choice of an Appropriate Information Dissimilarity Measure for Hierarchical Clustering of River Streamflow Time Series, Based on Calculated Lyapunov Exponent and Kolmogorov Measures. in Entropy
Switzerland, Basel : MDPI., 21(2), 215.
https://doi.org/10.3390/e21020215
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12914
Mihailović DT, Nikolić-Đorić E, Malinović-Milićević S, Singh VP, Mihailović A, Stošić T, Stošić B, Drešković N. The Choice of an Appropriate Information Dissimilarity Measure for Hierarchical Clustering of River Streamflow Time Series, Based on Calculated Lyapunov Exponent and Kolmogorov Measures. in Entropy. 2019;21(2):215.
doi:10.3390/e21020215
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12914 .
Mihailović, Dragutin T., Nikolić-Đorić, Emilija, Malinović-Milićević, Slavica, Singh, Vijay P., Mihailović, Anja, Stošić, Tatjana, Stošić, Borko, Drešković, Nusret, "The Choice of an Appropriate Information Dissimilarity Measure for Hierarchical Clustering of River Streamflow Time Series, Based on Calculated Lyapunov Exponent and Kolmogorov Measures" in Entropy, 21, no. 2 (2019):215,
https://doi.org/10.3390/e21020215 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12914 .
10
11

The assessment of aridity in Leskovac basin, Serbia (1981-2010)

Milentijević, Nikola; Dragojlović, Jovan; Ristić, Dušan; Cimbaljević, Marija; Demirović, Dunja; Valjarević, Aleksandar

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2018)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milentijević, Nikola
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
AU  - Ristić, Dušan
AU  - Cimbaljević, Marija
AU  - Demirović, Dunja
AU  - Valjarević, Aleksandar
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12578
AB  - In the paper, the aridity is defined on the basis of four climate indices: De Martonne's index of aridity, Lang's Rain Factor and Gracanin's Rain factor for the vegetation period and hydrothermal coefficient of Seljaninov. While the annual value of the drought index (I-DM) shows humid characteristics, the monthly values show the variability of the conditions. The summer months (July and August) are classified as semi-arid months, while the winter months (December-February) are extremely humid. The spatial distribution of the isoarids indicates that the northern part of the basin has the characteristics of a semiarid climate, while the southeastern parts are more humid. The analysis of mean annual values of the drought index indicates in semiarid conditions (1990 and 2000), but also the humid conditions (2005 and 2009). A positive linear trend indicates that there is a tendency towards humid conditions. The significance test confirms the existence of a statistically significant trend. During the vegetation period, semi-arid conditions are present (July-August). April is slightly humid, and October is moderately arid. The Lang's Rain Factor (KFg) characterizes basin climate as semiarid, while the Gracanin rain factor for the vegetation period (KFm) indicates a moisture deficit in the summer months. Hydrothermal coefficient Seljaninova (HTC) indicates a lack of moisture in July and August. Vegetation period is characterized as insufficiently humid. Irrigation is one of the most important measures for solving drought problems, since the yield varies from year to year.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - The assessment of aridity in Leskovac basin, Serbia (1981-2010)
SP  - 249
EP  - 264
VL  - 68
IS  - 2
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1802249M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12578
UR  - convd_1837
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milentijević, Nikola and Dragojlović, Jovan and Ristić, Dušan and Cimbaljević, Marija and Demirović, Dunja and Valjarević, Aleksandar",
year = "2018",
abstract = "In the paper, the aridity is defined on the basis of four climate indices: De Martonne's index of aridity, Lang's Rain Factor and Gracanin's Rain factor for the vegetation period and hydrothermal coefficient of Seljaninov. While the annual value of the drought index (I-DM) shows humid characteristics, the monthly values show the variability of the conditions. The summer months (July and August) are classified as semi-arid months, while the winter months (December-February) are extremely humid. The spatial distribution of the isoarids indicates that the northern part of the basin has the characteristics of a semiarid climate, while the southeastern parts are more humid. The analysis of mean annual values of the drought index indicates in semiarid conditions (1990 and 2000), but also the humid conditions (2005 and 2009). A positive linear trend indicates that there is a tendency towards humid conditions. The significance test confirms the existence of a statistically significant trend. During the vegetation period, semi-arid conditions are present (July-August). April is slightly humid, and October is moderately arid. The Lang's Rain Factor (KFg) characterizes basin climate as semiarid, while the Gracanin rain factor for the vegetation period (KFm) indicates a moisture deficit in the summer months. Hydrothermal coefficient Seljaninova (HTC) indicates a lack of moisture in July and August. Vegetation period is characterized as insufficiently humid. Irrigation is one of the most important measures for solving drought problems, since the yield varies from year to year.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "The assessment of aridity in Leskovac basin, Serbia (1981-2010)",
pages = "249-264",
volume = "68",
number = "2",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1802249M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12578, convd_1837"
}
Milentijević, N., Dragojlović, J., Ristić, D., Cimbaljević, M., Demirović, D.,& Valjarević, A.. (2018). The assessment of aridity in Leskovac basin, Serbia (1981-2010). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 68(2), 249-264.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1802249M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12578
Milentijević N, Dragojlović J, Ristić D, Cimbaljević M, Demirović D, Valjarević A. The assessment of aridity in Leskovac basin, Serbia (1981-2010). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2018;68(2):249-264.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1802249M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12578 .
Milentijević, Nikola, Dragojlović, Jovan, Ristić, Dušan, Cimbaljević, Marija, Demirović, Dunja, Valjarević, Aleksandar, "The assessment of aridity in Leskovac basin, Serbia (1981-2010)" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 68, no. 2 (2018):249-264,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1802249M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12578 .
8
6

Spatial and Temporal Non-Linear Dynamics Analysis and Predictability of Solar Radiation Time Series for La Reunion Island (France)

Bessafi, Miloud; Mihailović, Dragutin T.; Malinović-Milićević, Slavica; Mihailović, Anja; Jumaux, Guillaume; Bonnardot, François; Fanchette, Yannick; Chabriat, Jean-Pierre

(Switzerland, Basel : MDPI, 2018)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Bessafi, Miloud
AU  - Mihailović, Dragutin T.
AU  - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica
AU  - Mihailović, Anja
AU  - Jumaux, Guillaume
AU  - Bonnardot, François
AU  - Fanchette, Yannick
AU  - Chabriat, Jean-Pierre
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/13302
AB  - Analysis of daily solar irradiation variability and predictability in space and time is important for energy resources planning, development, and management. The natural intermittency of solar irradiation is mainly triggered by atmospheric turbulent conditions, radiative transfer, optical properties of cloud and aerosol, moisture and atmospheric stability, orographic and thermal forcing, which introduce additional complexity into the phenomenological records. To address this question for daily solar irradiation data recorded during the period 2011–2015, at 32 stations measuring solar irradiance on La Reunion French tropical Indian Ocean Island, we use the tools of non-linear dynamics: the intermittency and chaos analysis, the largest Lyapunov exponent, Sample entropy, the Kolmogorov complexity and its derivatives (Kolmogorov complexity spectrum and its highest value), and spatial weighted Kolmogorov complexity combined with Hamming distance to assess complexity and corresponding predictability. Finally, we have clustered the Kolmogorov time (that
quantifies the time span beyond which randomness significantly influences predictability) for daily cumulative solar irradiation for all stations. We show that under the record-breaking 2011–2012 La Nina event and preceding a very strong El-Nino 2015–2016 event, the predictability of daily incident solar energy over La Réunion is affected.
PB  - Switzerland, Basel : MDPI
T2  - Entropy
T1  - Spatial and Temporal Non-Linear Dynamics Analysis and Predictability of Solar Radiation Time Series for La Reunion Island (France)
VL  - 20
IS  - 946
DO  - 10.3390/e20120946
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13302
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Bessafi, Miloud and Mihailović, Dragutin T. and Malinović-Milićević, Slavica and Mihailović, Anja and Jumaux, Guillaume and Bonnardot, François and Fanchette, Yannick and Chabriat, Jean-Pierre",
year = "2018",
abstract = "Analysis of daily solar irradiation variability and predictability in space and time is important for energy resources planning, development, and management. The natural intermittency of solar irradiation is mainly triggered by atmospheric turbulent conditions, radiative transfer, optical properties of cloud and aerosol, moisture and atmospheric stability, orographic and thermal forcing, which introduce additional complexity into the phenomenological records. To address this question for daily solar irradiation data recorded during the period 2011–2015, at 32 stations measuring solar irradiance on La Reunion French tropical Indian Ocean Island, we use the tools of non-linear dynamics: the intermittency and chaos analysis, the largest Lyapunov exponent, Sample entropy, the Kolmogorov complexity and its derivatives (Kolmogorov complexity spectrum and its highest value), and spatial weighted Kolmogorov complexity combined with Hamming distance to assess complexity and corresponding predictability. Finally, we have clustered the Kolmogorov time (that
quantifies the time span beyond which randomness significantly influences predictability) for daily cumulative solar irradiation for all stations. We show that under the record-breaking 2011–2012 La Nina event and preceding a very strong El-Nino 2015–2016 event, the predictability of daily incident solar energy over La Réunion is affected.",
publisher = "Switzerland, Basel : MDPI",
journal = "Entropy",
title = "Spatial and Temporal Non-Linear Dynamics Analysis and Predictability of Solar Radiation Time Series for La Reunion Island (France)",
volume = "20",
number = "946",
doi = "10.3390/e20120946",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13302"
}
Bessafi, M., Mihailović, D. T., Malinović-Milićević, S., Mihailović, A., Jumaux, G., Bonnardot, F., Fanchette, Y.,& Chabriat, J.. (2018). Spatial and Temporal Non-Linear Dynamics Analysis and Predictability of Solar Radiation Time Series for La Reunion Island (France). in Entropy
Switzerland, Basel : MDPI., 20(946).
https://doi.org/10.3390/e20120946
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13302
Bessafi M, Mihailović DT, Malinović-Milićević S, Mihailović A, Jumaux G, Bonnardot F, Fanchette Y, Chabriat J. Spatial and Temporal Non-Linear Dynamics Analysis and Predictability of Solar Radiation Time Series for La Reunion Island (France). in Entropy. 2018;20(946).
doi:10.3390/e20120946
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13302 .
Bessafi, Miloud, Mihailović, Dragutin T., Malinović-Milićević, Slavica, Mihailović, Anja, Jumaux, Guillaume, Bonnardot, François, Fanchette, Yannick, Chabriat, Jean-Pierre, "Spatial and Temporal Non-Linear Dynamics Analysis and Predictability of Solar Radiation Time Series for La Reunion Island (France)" in Entropy, 20, no. 946 (2018),
https://doi.org/10.3390/e20120946 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13302 .
1
4
3

Analysis of Solar Irradiation Time Series Complexity and Predictability by Combining Kolmogorov Measures and Hamming Distance for La Reunion (France)

Mihailović, Dragutin T.; Bessafi, Miloud; Marković, Sara; Arsenić, Ilija; Malinović-Milićević, Slavica; Jeanty, Patrick; Delsaut, Mathieu; Chabriat, Jean-Pierre; Drešković, Nusret; Mihailović, Anja

(Switzerland, Basel : MDPI, 2018)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihailović, Dragutin T.
AU  - Bessafi, Miloud
AU  - Marković, Sara
AU  - Arsenić, Ilija
AU  - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica
AU  - Jeanty, Patrick
AU  - Delsaut, Mathieu
AU  - Chabriat, Jean-Pierre
AU  - Drešković, Nusret
AU  - Mihailović, Anja
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/13301
AB  - Analysis of daily solar irradiation variability and predictability in space and time is important for energy resources planning, development, and management. The natural variability of solar irradiation is being complicated by atmospheric conditions (in particular cloudiness) and orography, which introduce additional complexity into the phenomenological records. To address this question for daily solar irradiation data recorded during the years 2013, 2014 and 2015 at
11 stations measuring solar irradiance on La Reunion French tropical Indian Ocean Island, we use a set of novel quantitative tools: Kolmogorov complexity (KC) with its derivative associated measures and Hamming distance (HAM) and their combination to assess complexity and corresponding predictability. We find that all half-day (from sunrise to sunset) solar irradiation series exhibit high complexity. However, all of them can be classified into three groups strongly influenced by trade winds that circulate in a “flow around” regime: the windward side (trade winds slow down), the leeward side (diurnal thermally-induced circulations dominate) and the coast parallel to trade winds (winds are accelerated due to Venturi effect). We introduce Kolmogorov time (KT) that quantifies the time span beyond which randomness significantly influences predictability.
PB  - Switzerland, Basel : MDPI
T2  - Entropy
T1  - Analysis of Solar Irradiation Time Series Complexity and Predictability by Combining Kolmogorov Measures and Hamming Distance for La Reunion (France)
VL  - 20
IS  - 570
DO  - 10.3390/e20080570
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13301
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihailović, Dragutin T. and Bessafi, Miloud and Marković, Sara and Arsenić, Ilija and Malinović-Milićević, Slavica and Jeanty, Patrick and Delsaut, Mathieu and Chabriat, Jean-Pierre and Drešković, Nusret and Mihailović, Anja",
year = "2018",
abstract = "Analysis of daily solar irradiation variability and predictability in space and time is important for energy resources planning, development, and management. The natural variability of solar irradiation is being complicated by atmospheric conditions (in particular cloudiness) and orography, which introduce additional complexity into the phenomenological records. To address this question for daily solar irradiation data recorded during the years 2013, 2014 and 2015 at
11 stations measuring solar irradiance on La Reunion French tropical Indian Ocean Island, we use a set of novel quantitative tools: Kolmogorov complexity (KC) with its derivative associated measures and Hamming distance (HAM) and their combination to assess complexity and corresponding predictability. We find that all half-day (from sunrise to sunset) solar irradiation series exhibit high complexity. However, all of them can be classified into three groups strongly influenced by trade winds that circulate in a “flow around” regime: the windward side (trade winds slow down), the leeward side (diurnal thermally-induced circulations dominate) and the coast parallel to trade winds (winds are accelerated due to Venturi effect). We introduce Kolmogorov time (KT) that quantifies the time span beyond which randomness significantly influences predictability.",
publisher = "Switzerland, Basel : MDPI",
journal = "Entropy",
title = "Analysis of Solar Irradiation Time Series Complexity and Predictability by Combining Kolmogorov Measures and Hamming Distance for La Reunion (France)",
volume = "20",
number = "570",
doi = "10.3390/e20080570",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13301"
}
Mihailović, D. T., Bessafi, M., Marković, S., Arsenić, I., Malinović-Milićević, S., Jeanty, P., Delsaut, M., Chabriat, J., Drešković, N.,& Mihailović, A.. (2018). Analysis of Solar Irradiation Time Series Complexity and Predictability by Combining Kolmogorov Measures and Hamming Distance for La Reunion (France). in Entropy
Switzerland, Basel : MDPI., 20(570).
https://doi.org/10.3390/e20080570
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13301
Mihailović DT, Bessafi M, Marković S, Arsenić I, Malinović-Milićević S, Jeanty P, Delsaut M, Chabriat J, Drešković N, Mihailović A. Analysis of Solar Irradiation Time Series Complexity and Predictability by Combining Kolmogorov Measures and Hamming Distance for La Reunion (France). in Entropy. 2018;20(570).
doi:10.3390/e20080570
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13301 .
Mihailović, Dragutin T., Bessafi, Miloud, Marković, Sara, Arsenić, Ilija, Malinović-Milićević, Slavica, Jeanty, Patrick, Delsaut, Mathieu, Chabriat, Jean-Pierre, Drešković, Nusret, Mihailović, Anja, "Analysis of Solar Irradiation Time Series Complexity and Predictability by Combining Kolmogorov Measures and Hamming Distance for La Reunion (France)" in Entropy, 20, no. 570 (2018),
https://doi.org/10.3390/e20080570 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13301 .
1
15
1
13

Torrential flood prevention in the Kolubara river basin

Kostadinov, Stanimir; Dragićević, Slavoljub; Stefanović, Tomislav; Novković, Ivan; Petrović, Ana M.

(Science Press, Beijing, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kostadinov, Stanimir
AU  - Dragićević, Slavoljub
AU  - Stefanović, Tomislav
AU  - Novković, Ivan
AU  - Petrović, Ana M.
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12572
AB  - One of the most vulnerable parts to natural hazards in Serbia is Kolubara river basin. In the past, during the period from 1929 to 2013, 121 torrential flood events in the Kolubara river basin were recorded which show that this territory is extremely vulnerable to the torrential floods. The extreme event which occurred in May 2014 causing the catastrophic material damages and casualties was the latest and historical flood. The analysis of natural conditions in the Kolubara basin uniformly showed that this area is predisposed to a greater number of torrential floods due to its geomorphological, hydrological and land use properties. Torrential floods are closely related to the intensity and spatial distribution of erosive processes in the upper part of the Kolubara basin. The estimation of soil erosion potential is generally achieved by Erosion Potential Model (EPM). For the purposes of determining the degree of torrential properties in various water streams in the Kolubara basin, the calculation of susceptibility to torrential floods was assessed by Flash Flood Potential Index (FFPI). More than half of the basin area (57.2%) is located within the category of very weak and weak erosion (Z(sr) = 0.35), but the category of medium erosion is geospatially very common. Such a distribution of medium erosion category provides conditions for generating, i.e. production of sediment which would boost torrential properties of water streams. After the classification of the obtained FFPI values it was determined that 25% of the Kolubara basin is very susceptible to torrents and this data should be seriously taken into consideration. Based on the analyses, the best and most successful manner of defence is prevention which consists of the integrated river basin management system (integrated torrent control system) so that technical works in hydrographic networks of torrents and biological and biotechnical works on the slope of the basin would be the best solution. Permanent control of erosive and torrential processes in the river basin will be not only important for flood control but it can also protect the existing and future water reservoirs and retentions from siltation with erosion sediment which is of great significance to the water management, agriculture, energy sector, and the entire society.
PB  - Science Press, Beijing
T2  - Journal of Mountain Science
T1  - Torrential flood prevention in the Kolubara river basin
SP  - 2230
EP  - 2245
VL  - 14
IS  - 11
DO  - 10.1007/s11629-017-4575-9
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12572
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Kostadinov, Stanimir and Dragićević, Slavoljub and Stefanović, Tomislav and Novković, Ivan and Petrović, Ana M.",
year = "2017",
abstract = "One of the most vulnerable parts to natural hazards in Serbia is Kolubara river basin. In the past, during the period from 1929 to 2013, 121 torrential flood events in the Kolubara river basin were recorded which show that this territory is extremely vulnerable to the torrential floods. The extreme event which occurred in May 2014 causing the catastrophic material damages and casualties was the latest and historical flood. The analysis of natural conditions in the Kolubara basin uniformly showed that this area is predisposed to a greater number of torrential floods due to its geomorphological, hydrological and land use properties. Torrential floods are closely related to the intensity and spatial distribution of erosive processes in the upper part of the Kolubara basin. The estimation of soil erosion potential is generally achieved by Erosion Potential Model (EPM). For the purposes of determining the degree of torrential properties in various water streams in the Kolubara basin, the calculation of susceptibility to torrential floods was assessed by Flash Flood Potential Index (FFPI). More than half of the basin area (57.2%) is located within the category of very weak and weak erosion (Z(sr) = 0.35), but the category of medium erosion is geospatially very common. Such a distribution of medium erosion category provides conditions for generating, i.e. production of sediment which would boost torrential properties of water streams. After the classification of the obtained FFPI values it was determined that 25% of the Kolubara basin is very susceptible to torrents and this data should be seriously taken into consideration. Based on the analyses, the best and most successful manner of defence is prevention which consists of the integrated river basin management system (integrated torrent control system) so that technical works in hydrographic networks of torrents and biological and biotechnical works on the slope of the basin would be the best solution. Permanent control of erosive and torrential processes in the river basin will be not only important for flood control but it can also protect the existing and future water reservoirs and retentions from siltation with erosion sediment which is of great significance to the water management, agriculture, energy sector, and the entire society.",
publisher = "Science Press, Beijing",
journal = "Journal of Mountain Science",
title = "Torrential flood prevention in the Kolubara river basin",
pages = "2230-2245",
volume = "14",
number = "11",
doi = "10.1007/s11629-017-4575-9",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12572"
}
Kostadinov, S., Dragićević, S., Stefanović, T., Novković, I.,& Petrović, A. M.. (2017). Torrential flood prevention in the Kolubara river basin. in Journal of Mountain Science
Science Press, Beijing., 14(11), 2230-2245.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-017-4575-9
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12572
Kostadinov S, Dragićević S, Stefanović T, Novković I, Petrović AM. Torrential flood prevention in the Kolubara river basin. in Journal of Mountain Science. 2017;14(11):2230-2245.
doi:10.1007/s11629-017-4575-9
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12572 .
Kostadinov, Stanimir, Dragićević, Slavoljub, Stefanović, Tomislav, Novković, Ivan, Petrović, Ana M., "Torrential flood prevention in the Kolubara river basin" in Journal of Mountain Science, 14, no. 11 (2017):2230-2245,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-017-4575-9 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12572 .
21
5
18

Extreme climate events and erosion control in headwater catchments of Serbia

Kostadinov, Stanimir; Košanin, Olivera; Petrović, Ana M.; Dragićević, Slavoljub

(Springer International Publishing, 2017)

TY  - CHAP
AU  - Kostadinov, Stanimir
AU  - Košanin, Olivera
AU  - Petrović, Ana M.
AU  - Dragićević, Slavoljub
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12575
AB  - Floods are the most frequent natural catastrophic events worldwide (Berz et al. 2001; De Moel et al. 2009; Bissolli et al. 2011). In Serbia, the risk of torrential floods is the most common natural hazard, and a permanent threat of ecosystems, local and national economy, and social life (Kostadinov 1996; Dragićević et al. 2011). The average annual economic loss due to natural hazards over the world has been estimated at 40 billion EUR (MRG 2003), and, particularly, flash floods caused several serious loss of life and economic damage.
PB  - Springer International Publishing
T2  - Ecosystem Services of Headwater Catchments
T1  - Extreme climate events and erosion control in headwater catchments of Serbia
SP  - 215
EP  - 222
DO  - 10.1007/978-3-319-57946-7_19
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12575
ER  - 
@inbook{
author = "Kostadinov, Stanimir and Košanin, Olivera and Petrović, Ana M. and Dragićević, Slavoljub",
year = "2017",
abstract = "Floods are the most frequent natural catastrophic events worldwide (Berz et al. 2001; De Moel et al. 2009; Bissolli et al. 2011). In Serbia, the risk of torrential floods is the most common natural hazard, and a permanent threat of ecosystems, local and national economy, and social life (Kostadinov 1996; Dragićević et al. 2011). The average annual economic loss due to natural hazards over the world has been estimated at 40 billion EUR (MRG 2003), and, particularly, flash floods caused several serious loss of life and economic damage.",
publisher = "Springer International Publishing",
journal = "Ecosystem Services of Headwater Catchments",
booktitle = "Extreme climate events and erosion control in headwater catchments of Serbia",
pages = "215-222",
doi = "10.1007/978-3-319-57946-7_19",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12575"
}
Kostadinov, S., Košanin, O., Petrović, A. M.,& Dragićević, S.. (2017). Extreme climate events and erosion control in headwater catchments of Serbia. in Ecosystem Services of Headwater Catchments
Springer International Publishing., 215-222.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57946-7_19
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12575
Kostadinov S, Košanin O, Petrović AM, Dragićević S. Extreme climate events and erosion control in headwater catchments of Serbia. in Ecosystem Services of Headwater Catchments. 2017;:215-222.
doi:10.1007/978-3-319-57946-7_19
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12575 .
Kostadinov, Stanimir, Košanin, Olivera, Petrović, Ana M., Dragićević, Slavoljub, "Extreme climate events and erosion control in headwater catchments of Serbia" in Ecosystem Services of Headwater Catchments (2017):215-222,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57946-7_19 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12575 .
6
6

Recent changes in Serbian Climate Extreme Indices from 1961 to 2010

Malinović-Milićević, Slavica; Radovanovic, Milan M.; Stanojevic, Gorica; Milovanovic, Bosko

(Berlin : Springer, 2016)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica
AU  - Radovanovic, Milan M.
AU  - Stanojevic, Gorica
AU  - Milovanovic, Bosko
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/13853
AB  - This paper focuses on the development and application of a technique for filling the daily erythemal UV dose  data gaps and the reconstruction of the past daily erythemal  UV doses in Novi Sad, Serbia. The technique implies developing the empirical equation for estimation of daily erythemal  UV doses by means of relative daily sunshine duration under all sky conditions. A good agreement was found between modeled and measured values of erythemal UV doses. This
technique was used for filling the short gaps in the erythemal  UV dose measurement series (2003–2009) as well as for the reconstruction of the past time-series values (1981–2002). Statistically significant positive erythemal UV dose trend of 6.9 J m−2 per year was found during the period 1981–2009. In relation to the reference period 1981–1989, an increase in the erythemal UV dose of 6.92 % is visible in the period 1990– 1999 and the increase of 9.67 % can be seen in the period  2000–2009. The strongest increase in erythemal UV doses has  been found for winter and spring seasons.
PB  - Berlin : Springer
T2  - Theoretical and Applied Climatology
T1  - Recent changes in Serbian Climate Extreme Indices from 1961 to 2010
SP  - 131
EP  - 138
VL  - 121
DO  - 10.1007/s00704-015-1491-1
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13853
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Malinović-Milićević, Slavica and Radovanovic, Milan M. and Stanojevic, Gorica and Milovanovic, Bosko",
year = "2016",
abstract = "This paper focuses on the development and application of a technique for filling the daily erythemal UV dose  data gaps and the reconstruction of the past daily erythemal  UV doses in Novi Sad, Serbia. The technique implies developing the empirical equation for estimation of daily erythemal  UV doses by means of relative daily sunshine duration under all sky conditions. A good agreement was found between modeled and measured values of erythemal UV doses. This
technique was used for filling the short gaps in the erythemal  UV dose measurement series (2003–2009) as well as for the reconstruction of the past time-series values (1981–2002). Statistically significant positive erythemal UV dose trend of 6.9 J m−2 per year was found during the period 1981–2009. In relation to the reference period 1981–1989, an increase in the erythemal UV dose of 6.92 % is visible in the period 1990– 1999 and the increase of 9.67 % can be seen in the period  2000–2009. The strongest increase in erythemal UV doses has  been found for winter and spring seasons.",
publisher = "Berlin : Springer",
journal = "Theoretical and Applied Climatology",
title = "Recent changes in Serbian Climate Extreme Indices from 1961 to 2010",
pages = "131-138",
volume = "121",
doi = "10.1007/s00704-015-1491-1",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13853"
}
Malinović-Milićević, S., Radovanovic, M. M., Stanojevic, G.,& Milovanovic, B.. (2016). Recent changes in Serbian Climate Extreme Indices from 1961 to 2010. in Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Berlin : Springer., 121, 131-138.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1491-1
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13853
Malinović-Milićević S, Radovanovic MM, Stanojevic G, Milovanovic B. Recent changes in Serbian Climate Extreme Indices from 1961 to 2010. in Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 2016;121:131-138.
doi:10.1007/s00704-015-1491-1
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13853 .
Malinović-Milićević, Slavica, Radovanovic, Milan M., Stanojevic, Gorica, Milovanovic, Bosko, "Recent changes in Serbian Climate Extreme Indices from 1961 to 2010" in Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 121 (2016):131-138,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1491-1 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13853 .
5
36
16
37

Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2

Malinović-Milićević, Slavica B.; Mihailović, Dragutin T.; Drešković, Nusret M.; Đurđević, Vladimir S.; Mimić, Gordan I.; Arsenić, Ilija D.

(Belgrade : Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica B.
AU  - Mihailović, Dragutin T.
AU  - Drešković, Nusret M.
AU  - Đurđević, Vladimir S.
AU  - Mimić, Gordan I.
AU  - Arsenić, Ilija D.
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/13851
AB  - In this article we considered the extreme temperatures, precipitation and UV-B radiation in Vojvodina region, Serbia. We describe the actual climate conditions for  the period 1981-2007 and applied a dynamic downscaling technique using the EBU-POM regional coupled climate model under the SRES-A2 scenario to assess the changes for the period 2021-2100. The results indicate that a warmer and drier climate in the Vojvodina region can be expected at the end of the century. Projection of climate indicates to a strong increase in the mean annual minimum temperatures, and much smaller increase in the mean annual maximum temperatures. The increase of both extreme temperatures is predicted to be the highest in the winter and the lowest in the summer. Mean annual precipitation is projected to increase toward the end of the first half of the 21st century and to decrease for the last 30 years of the 21st century. Precipitation amount will be the highest during the winter and spring. The model simulations show that, by the end of this century, annual mean UV-B dose will recover by 5.2%. Recovery will be faster in the first half of the 21st century and more slowly later on. The UV-B doses recovery is expected to be the highest during the autumn and spring.
PB  - Belgrade : Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2
SP  - 289
EP  - 298
VL  - 19
IS  - 2
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI141207031M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Malinović-Milićević, Slavica B. and Mihailović, Dragutin T. and Drešković, Nusret M. and Đurđević, Vladimir S. and Mimić, Gordan I. and Arsenić, Ilija D.",
year = "2015",
abstract = "In this article we considered the extreme temperatures, precipitation and UV-B radiation in Vojvodina region, Serbia. We describe the actual climate conditions for  the period 1981-2007 and applied a dynamic downscaling technique using the EBU-POM regional coupled climate model under the SRES-A2 scenario to assess the changes for the period 2021-2100. The results indicate that a warmer and drier climate in the Vojvodina region can be expected at the end of the century. Projection of climate indicates to a strong increase in the mean annual minimum temperatures, and much smaller increase in the mean annual maximum temperatures. The increase of both extreme temperatures is predicted to be the highest in the winter and the lowest in the summer. Mean annual precipitation is projected to increase toward the end of the first half of the 21st century and to decrease for the last 30 years of the 21st century. Precipitation amount will be the highest during the winter and spring. The model simulations show that, by the end of this century, annual mean UV-B dose will recover by 5.2%. Recovery will be faster in the first half of the 21st century and more slowly later on. The UV-B doses recovery is expected to be the highest during the autumn and spring.",
publisher = "Belgrade : Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2",
pages = "289-298",
volume = "19",
number = "2",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI141207031M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851"
}
Malinović-Milićević, S. B., Mihailović, D. T., Drešković, N. M., Đurđević, V. S., Mimić, G. I.,& Arsenić, I. D.. (2015). Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2. in Thermal Science
Belgrade : Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences., 19(2), 289-298.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI141207031M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851
Malinović-Milićević SB, Mihailović DT, Drešković NM, Đurđević VS, Mimić GI, Arsenić ID. Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2. in Thermal Science. 2015;19(2):289-298.
doi:10.2298/TSCI141207031M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851 .
Malinović-Milićević, Slavica B., Mihailović, Dragutin T., Drešković, Nusret M., Đurđević, Vladimir S., Mimić, Gordan I., Arsenić, Ilija D., "Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2" in Thermal Science, 19, no. 2 (2015):289-298,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI141207031M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851 .
5
3
6

Reconstruction of the erythemal UV radiation data in Novi Sad (Serbia) using the NEOPLANTA parametric model

Malinovic-Milicevic, Slavica; Mihailovic, Dragutin T.; Radovanovic, Milan M.

(Vienna, Austria : Springer-Verlag, 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Malinovic-Milicevic, Slavica
AU  - Mihailovic, Dragutin T.
AU  - Radovanovic, Milan M.
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/13497
AB  - This paper focuses on the development and application of a technique for filling the daily erythemal UV dose data gaps and the reconstruction of the past daily erythemal UV doses in Novi Sad, Serbia. The technique implies developing the empirical equation for estimation of daily erythemal UV doses by means of relative daily sunshine duration under all sky conditions. A good agreement was found between modeled and measured values of erythemal UV doses. This technique was used for filling the short gaps in the erythemal UV dose measurement series (2003–2009) as well as for the reconstruction of the past time-series values (1981–2002). Statistically significant positive erythemal UV dose trend of 6.9 J m−2 per year was found during the period 1981–2009. In
relation to the reference period 1981–1989, an increase in the erythemal UV dose of 6.92 % is visible in the period 1990– 1999 and the increase of 9.67 % can be seen in the period 2000–2009. The strongest increase in erythemal UV doses has been found for winter and spring seasons.
PB  - Vienna, Austria : Springer-Verlag
T2  - Theoretical and Applied Climatology
T1  - Reconstruction of the erythemal UV radiation data in Novi Sad (Serbia) using the NEOPLANTA parametric model
SP  - 131
EP  - 138
VL  - 12
IS  - 1-2
DO  - 10.1007/s00704-014-1223-y
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13497
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Malinovic-Milicevic, Slavica and Mihailovic, Dragutin T. and Radovanovic, Milan M.",
year = "2015",
abstract = "This paper focuses on the development and application of a technique for filling the daily erythemal UV dose data gaps and the reconstruction of the past daily erythemal UV doses in Novi Sad, Serbia. The technique implies developing the empirical equation for estimation of daily erythemal UV doses by means of relative daily sunshine duration under all sky conditions. A good agreement was found between modeled and measured values of erythemal UV doses. This technique was used for filling the short gaps in the erythemal UV dose measurement series (2003–2009) as well as for the reconstruction of the past time-series values (1981–2002). Statistically significant positive erythemal UV dose trend of 6.9 J m−2 per year was found during the period 1981–2009. In
relation to the reference period 1981–1989, an increase in the erythemal UV dose of 6.92 % is visible in the period 1990– 1999 and the increase of 9.67 % can be seen in the period 2000–2009. The strongest increase in erythemal UV doses has been found for winter and spring seasons.",
publisher = "Vienna, Austria : Springer-Verlag",
journal = "Theoretical and Applied Climatology",
title = "Reconstruction of the erythemal UV radiation data in Novi Sad (Serbia) using the NEOPLANTA parametric model",
pages = "131-138",
volume = "12",
number = "1-2",
doi = "10.1007/s00704-014-1223-y",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13497"
}
Malinovic-Milicevic, S., Mihailovic, D. T.,& Radovanovic, M. M.. (2015). Reconstruction of the erythemal UV radiation data in Novi Sad (Serbia) using the NEOPLANTA parametric model. in Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Vienna, Austria : Springer-Verlag., 12(1-2), 131-138.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1223-y
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13497
Malinovic-Milicevic S, Mihailovic DT, Radovanovic MM. Reconstruction of the erythemal UV radiation data in Novi Sad (Serbia) using the NEOPLANTA parametric model. in Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 2015;12(1-2):131-138.
doi:10.1007/s00704-014-1223-y
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13497 .
Malinovic-Milicevic, Slavica, Mihailovic, Dragutin T., Radovanovic, Milan M., "Reconstruction of the erythemal UV radiation data in Novi Sad (Serbia) using the NEOPLANTA parametric model" in Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 12, no. 1-2 (2015):131-138,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1223-y .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13497 .
7
3
7

Фактори настанка бујичних поплава у Србији

Petrović, Ana M.

(Универзитет у Београду, Шумарски факултет, 2014)

TY  - THES
AU  - Petrović, Ana M.
PY  - 2014
UR  - http://eteze.bg.ac.rs/application/showtheses?thesesId=3552
UR  - https://fedorabg.bg.ac.rs/fedora/get/o:12276/bdef:Content/download
UR  - http://vbs.rs/scripts/cobiss?command=DISPLAY&base=70036&RID=513337756
UR  - http://nardus.mpn.gov.rs/123456789/6277
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/1607
AB  - Бујичне поплаве припадају групи природних хидролошких непогода које секарактеришу изненадном појавом максималних протицаја вода и проноса наносана бујичним токовима. Бујични поплавни талас представља концентрисани токводе огромне разорне снаге чија је појава условљена интеракцијом интезивнихпадавина и специфичних карактеристика слива. Њихова појава је нагла, трајањекратко, а дејство изузетно деструктивно, па управљање ризицима од бујичнихпоплава представља прави изазов.Просторно - временска представа овог феномена дата је за територију Србије,јужно од Саве и Дунава, узимајући у обзир бујичне токове на Вршачким брдима иФрушкој гори у Војводини. Израђен је први инвентар бујичних поплава у Србијиу коме је, за период 1915.-2013. године, регистровано 848 догађаја бујичнихпоплава са преко 133 људске жртве и огромним материјалним штетама.Дефинисана је учесталост појаве бујичних поплава у току године и у токуистаживаног периода, дат је предлог извештаја о догађајима бујичних поплава идати су критеријуми за категоризацију догађаја бујичних поплава премаматеријалним штетама, и предложен даљи развој инвентара. На основу доступнихподатака о екстремних догађајима бујичних поплава изведена је статистичкаанализа зависности специфичног максималног протицаја од више фактора у сливуи нађене су значајне повезаности испитиваних варијабли.Специфичне и варијабилне карактеристике климе и рељефа, геолошке основе,педолошког и вегетационог покривача и начина коришћења земљиштапредстављају јединствену комбинацију фактора и услова појаве бујичних поплавау сваком сливу. На тај начин, хидрограми поплавних таласа одражавајукарактеристике слива и кишних падавина. У овом раду су детаљно анализиранифактори појаве бујичних поплава и разрађени физички базирани, просторнодистрибутивни хидролошки модели отицаја, употребом програмског пакетаShetran, за репрезентативне сливове – слив Топчидерске реке до профилаРаковица и слив Топлице до профила Магово. Први експериментални слив налазисе у брдској, а други у планинској зони. Репрезентативни сливови ових подручјаодликују се различитим обликом и величином слива, густином хидрографскогсистема и геометријом слива, као и различитим климатско-метеоролошким,геолошким, педолошким и условима начина коришћења земљишта. Ухидролошким прорачунима, слив је посматран као хидролошки систем са свимсвојим физичко-географским специфичностима и јединственом комбинацијомфактора појаве поплавних таласа, a узете су у обзир све компоненте хидролошкогциклуса - интерцепција и евапотранспирација, површински отицај и отицај крозхидрографску мрежу, отицај у засићеној средини и отицај у незасићеној средини.
AB  - Torrential floods (flash floods) belong to the natural hydrological hazards which arecharacterized by sudden occurrence of maximal discharge and sediment transport intorrents. Torrential flood wave is a concentrated water flow of severe ruinous powerwhich is a result of interaction of intensive rainfalls and specific characteristics ofwatershed. Their appearance is sudden, duration is short and concequenes aredestructive, so that torrential flood risk management performs a real challenge.Spatial and temporal review of this phenomenon is given for the territory of Serbia,south of the Sava River and the Danube River, considering torrents on Vrsacka hills andFruska hills in Vojvodina. In this work, the first inventory of torrential flood in Serbiafor the period 1915-2013, numbers 848 torrential flood events with over 133 casualtiesand severe material damages. Torrential flood frequency within a year and a researchperiod is defined, proposal of report of torrential flood event and criteria forcategorization of torrential flood events according to material damages are given, andfurther development and upgrading of inventory is proposed. On the base of availabledata on extreme torrential flood events from inventory, statistic analysis of relationshipbetween specific maximal discharge and several factors of their occuerence in thewatersheds shows significant dependency.Specific and variable characteristic of microclimate and relief, geological terrain,pedological and vegetation cover and land use, perform a unique combination of factorsand conditions of torrential flood occurrence in each watershed. Therefore, hydrographsof flood waves represents characteristics of watershed and rainfalls. In this work, factorsof torrential flood occurrence are analized in detail and physically based spatiallydistributed hydological models of flow, by using program Shetran, are developed. Forthis purpose, two representative torrential watersheds are chosen, watershed ofTopciderska river (profile Rakovica) which is periurban and situated in hilly region, andwatershed of Toplica (profile Magovo) which is rural and situated in mountainousregion. These watersheds are characterized by the distinctive watershed shape and area,hydrographic system and geometry, as well as climate-meteorological, geological,pedological and land use properties. In hydrological modelling, watershed is taken as ahydrological system with its physical-geographic properties and unique combination offactors of torrential flood occurence, and hydrological components – interception andevapotranspiration, overland and chanel flow and flow in saturated and flow inunsaturated zone, are calculated.
PB  - Универзитет у Београду, Шумарски факултет
T2  - Универзитет у Београду
T1  - Фактори настанка бујичних поплава у Србији
T1  - Factors of genesis of the torrential floods in Serbia
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_1607
ER  - 
@phdthesis{
author = "Petrović, Ana M.",
year = "2014",
abstract = "Бујичне поплаве припадају групи природних хидролошких непогода које секарактеришу изненадном појавом максималних протицаја вода и проноса наносана бујичним токовима. Бујични поплавни талас представља концентрисани токводе огромне разорне снаге чија је појава условљена интеракцијом интезивнихпадавина и специфичних карактеристика слива. Њихова појава је нагла, трајањекратко, а дејство изузетно деструктивно, па управљање ризицима од бујичнихпоплава представља прави изазов.Просторно - временска представа овог феномена дата је за територију Србије,јужно од Саве и Дунава, узимајући у обзир бујичне токове на Вршачким брдима иФрушкој гори у Војводини. Израђен је први инвентар бујичних поплава у Србијиу коме је, за период 1915.-2013. године, регистровано 848 догађаја бујичнихпоплава са преко 133 људске жртве и огромним материјалним штетама.Дефинисана је учесталост појаве бујичних поплава у току године и у токуистаживаног периода, дат је предлог извештаја о догађајима бујичних поплава идати су критеријуми за категоризацију догађаја бујичних поплава премаматеријалним штетама, и предложен даљи развој инвентара. На основу доступнихподатака о екстремних догађајима бујичних поплава изведена је статистичкаанализа зависности специфичног максималног протицаја од више фактора у сливуи нађене су значајне повезаности испитиваних варијабли.Специфичне и варијабилне карактеристике климе и рељефа, геолошке основе,педолошког и вегетационог покривача и начина коришћења земљиштапредстављају јединствену комбинацију фактора и услова појаве бујичних поплавау сваком сливу. На тај начин, хидрограми поплавних таласа одражавајукарактеристике слива и кишних падавина. У овом раду су детаљно анализиранифактори појаве бујичних поплава и разрађени физички базирани, просторнодистрибутивни хидролошки модели отицаја, употребом програмског пакетаShetran, за репрезентативне сливове – слив Топчидерске реке до профилаРаковица и слив Топлице до профила Магово. Први експериментални слив налазисе у брдској, а други у планинској зони. Репрезентативни сливови ових подручјаодликују се различитим обликом и величином слива, густином хидрографскогсистема и геометријом слива, као и различитим климатско-метеоролошким,геолошким, педолошким и условима начина коришћења земљишта. Ухидролошким прорачунима, слив је посматран као хидролошки систем са свимсвојим физичко-географским специфичностима и јединственом комбинацијомфактора појаве поплавних таласа, a узете су у обзир све компоненте хидролошкогциклуса - интерцепција и евапотранспирација, површински отицај и отицај крозхидрографску мрежу, отицај у засићеној средини и отицај у незасићеној средини., Torrential floods (flash floods) belong to the natural hydrological hazards which arecharacterized by sudden occurrence of maximal discharge and sediment transport intorrents. Torrential flood wave is a concentrated water flow of severe ruinous powerwhich is a result of interaction of intensive rainfalls and specific characteristics ofwatershed. Their appearance is sudden, duration is short and concequenes aredestructive, so that torrential flood risk management performs a real challenge.Spatial and temporal review of this phenomenon is given for the territory of Serbia,south of the Sava River and the Danube River, considering torrents on Vrsacka hills andFruska hills in Vojvodina. In this work, the first inventory of torrential flood in Serbiafor the period 1915-2013, numbers 848 torrential flood events with over 133 casualtiesand severe material damages. Torrential flood frequency within a year and a researchperiod is defined, proposal of report of torrential flood event and criteria forcategorization of torrential flood events according to material damages are given, andfurther development and upgrading of inventory is proposed. On the base of availabledata on extreme torrential flood events from inventory, statistic analysis of relationshipbetween specific maximal discharge and several factors of their occuerence in thewatersheds shows significant dependency.Specific and variable characteristic of microclimate and relief, geological terrain,pedological and vegetation cover and land use, perform a unique combination of factorsand conditions of torrential flood occurrence in each watershed. Therefore, hydrographsof flood waves represents characteristics of watershed and rainfalls. In this work, factorsof torrential flood occurrence are analized in detail and physically based spatiallydistributed hydological models of flow, by using program Shetran, are developed. Forthis purpose, two representative torrential watersheds are chosen, watershed ofTopciderska river (profile Rakovica) which is periurban and situated in hilly region, andwatershed of Toplica (profile Magovo) which is rural and situated in mountainousregion. These watersheds are characterized by the distinctive watershed shape and area,hydrographic system and geometry, as well as climate-meteorological, geological,pedological and land use properties. In hydrological modelling, watershed is taken as ahydrological system with its physical-geographic properties and unique combination offactors of torrential flood occurence, and hydrological components – interception andevapotranspiration, overland and chanel flow and flow in saturated and flow inunsaturated zone, are calculated.",
publisher = "Универзитет у Београду, Шумарски факултет",
journal = "Универзитет у Београду",
title = "Фактори настанка бујичних поплава у Србији, Factors of genesis of the torrential floods in Serbia",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_1607"
}
Petrović, A. M.. (2014). Фактори настанка бујичних поплава у Србији. in Универзитет у Београду
Универзитет у Београду, Шумарски факултет..
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_1607
Petrović AM. Фактори настанка бујичних поплава у Србији. in Универзитет у Београду. 2014;.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_1607 .
Petrović, Ana M., "Фактори настанка бујичних поплава у Србији" in Универзитет у Београду (2014),
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_1607 .

Kolmogorov complexity spectrum for use in analysis of UV-B radiation time series

Malinović-Milićević, Slavica; Arsenić, Ilija; Drešković, Nusret; Bukosa, Beata

(Singapore : World Scientific Publishing, 2013)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica
AU  - Arsenić, Ilija
AU  - Drešković, Nusret
AU  - Bukosa, Beata
PY  - 2013
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/13862
AB  - In this paper, we have used the Kolmogorov complexity and sample entropy measures to estimate the complexity of the UV-B radiation time series in the Vojvodina region (Serbia) for the period 1990–2007. We have defined the Kolmogorov complexity spectrum and have introduced the Kolmogorov complexity spectrum highest value (KCH). We have established the UV-B radiation time series on the basis of their daily sum (dose) for seven representative places in this region using: (i) measured data, (ii) data calculated
via a derived empirical formula and (iii) data obtained by a parametric UV radiation model. We have calculated the Kolmogorov complexity (KC) based on the Lempel–Ziv algorithm (LZA), KCH and sample entropy (SE) values for each time series. We have divided the period 1990–2007 into two subintervals: (i) 1990–1998 and (ii) 1999–2007 and calculated the KC, KCH and SE values for the various time series in these subintervals. It is found that during the period 1999–2007, there is a decrease in the KC, KCH and SE, compared to the period 1990–1998. This complexity loss may be attributed to (i) the increased human intervention in the post civil war period causing increase of the air pollution and (ii) the increased cloudiness due to climate changes.
PB  - Singapore : World Scientific Publishing
T2  - Modern Physics Letters B
T1  - Kolmogorov complexity spectrum for use in analysis of UV-B radiation time series
VL  - 27
IS  - 27
DO  - 10.1142/S0217984913501947
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13862
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Malinović-Milićević, Slavica and Arsenić, Ilija and Drešković, Nusret and Bukosa, Beata",
year = "2013",
abstract = "In this paper, we have used the Kolmogorov complexity and sample entropy measures to estimate the complexity of the UV-B radiation time series in the Vojvodina region (Serbia) for the period 1990–2007. We have defined the Kolmogorov complexity spectrum and have introduced the Kolmogorov complexity spectrum highest value (KCH). We have established the UV-B radiation time series on the basis of their daily sum (dose) for seven representative places in this region using: (i) measured data, (ii) data calculated
via a derived empirical formula and (iii) data obtained by a parametric UV radiation model. We have calculated the Kolmogorov complexity (KC) based on the Lempel–Ziv algorithm (LZA), KCH and sample entropy (SE) values for each time series. We have divided the period 1990–2007 into two subintervals: (i) 1990–1998 and (ii) 1999–2007 and calculated the KC, KCH and SE values for the various time series in these subintervals. It is found that during the period 1999–2007, there is a decrease in the KC, KCH and SE, compared to the period 1990–1998. This complexity loss may be attributed to (i) the increased human intervention in the post civil war period causing increase of the air pollution and (ii) the increased cloudiness due to climate changes.",
publisher = "Singapore : World Scientific Publishing",
journal = "Modern Physics Letters B",
title = "Kolmogorov complexity spectrum for use in analysis of UV-B radiation time series",
volume = "27",
number = "27",
doi = "10.1142/S0217984913501947",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13862"
}
Malinović-Milićević, S., Arsenić, I., Drešković, N.,& Bukosa, B.. (2013). Kolmogorov complexity spectrum for use in analysis of UV-B radiation time series. in Modern Physics Letters B
Singapore : World Scientific Publishing., 27(27).
https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217984913501947
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13862
Malinović-Milićević S, Arsenić I, Drešković N, Bukosa B. Kolmogorov complexity spectrum for use in analysis of UV-B radiation time series. in Modern Physics Letters B. 2013;27(27).
doi:10.1142/S0217984913501947
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13862 .
Malinović-Milićević, Slavica, Arsenić, Ilija, Drešković, Nusret, Bukosa, Beata, "Kolmogorov complexity spectrum for use in analysis of UV-B radiation time series" in Modern Physics Letters B, 27, no. 27 (2013),
https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217984913501947 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13862 .
1
7
4
7

Extreme erosion rates in the Nišava River Basin (eastern Serbia) in 2010

Mustafić, Sanja; Manojlović, Predrag; Milošević, Marko V.

(Springer Netherlands, 2013)

TY  - CHAP
AU  - Mustafić, Sanja
AU  - Manojlović, Predrag
AU  - Milošević, Marko V.
PY  - 2013
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12557
AB  - In the last decade several major floods have been registered on the territory of Serbia. The floods that affected the Nišava River Basin in spring 2010 have been the most severe in the last 50 years. During 2010 daily measurements of suspended sediment were carried out at the last hydrologic profile of Niš along the river. In the study period, mean annual specific runoff was 12.3 L s-1 km-2 and mean annual suspended load concentration was 0.1272 g L-1. A maximum mean monthly concentration of suspended load of 0.3806 g L-1 was recorded in May, when the mean monthly specific runoff was 24 L s-1 km2, and minimum 0.0118 g L-1 in September (2.7 L s-1 km-2). Total suspended load transport was 475,792.2 t (specific yield, 122.9 t km-2 year-1). The suspended transport over the year was 2.1 times higher than the average for the period of 50 years. Out of total annual sediment, 90.7% was moved in the period February to May. On a monthly level, the highest transport was observed in May (31% of the annual transport).
PB  - Springer Netherlands
T2  - Geomorphological Impacts of Extreme Weather: Case Studies From Central and Eastern Europe
T1  - Extreme erosion rates in the Nišava River Basin (eastern Serbia) in 2010
SP  - 171
EP  - 187
DO  - 10.1007/978-94-007-6301-2_11
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12557
ER  - 
@inbook{
author = "Mustafić, Sanja and Manojlović, Predrag and Milošević, Marko V.",
year = "2013",
abstract = "In the last decade several major floods have been registered on the territory of Serbia. The floods that affected the Nišava River Basin in spring 2010 have been the most severe in the last 50 years. During 2010 daily measurements of suspended sediment were carried out at the last hydrologic profile of Niš along the river. In the study period, mean annual specific runoff was 12.3 L s-1 km-2 and mean annual suspended load concentration was 0.1272 g L-1. A maximum mean monthly concentration of suspended load of 0.3806 g L-1 was recorded in May, when the mean monthly specific runoff was 24 L s-1 km2, and minimum 0.0118 g L-1 in September (2.7 L s-1 km-2). Total suspended load transport was 475,792.2 t (specific yield, 122.9 t km-2 year-1). The suspended transport over the year was 2.1 times higher than the average for the period of 50 years. Out of total annual sediment, 90.7% was moved in the period February to May. On a monthly level, the highest transport was observed in May (31% of the annual transport).",
publisher = "Springer Netherlands",
journal = "Geomorphological Impacts of Extreme Weather: Case Studies From Central and Eastern Europe",
booktitle = "Extreme erosion rates in the Nišava River Basin (eastern Serbia) in 2010",
pages = "171-187",
doi = "10.1007/978-94-007-6301-2_11",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12557"
}
Mustafić, S., Manojlović, P.,& Milošević, M. V.. (2013). Extreme erosion rates in the Nišava River Basin (eastern Serbia) in 2010. in Geomorphological Impacts of Extreme Weather: Case Studies From Central and Eastern Europe
Springer Netherlands., 171-187.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-6301-2_11
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12557
Mustafić S, Manojlović P, Milošević MV. Extreme erosion rates in the Nišava River Basin (eastern Serbia) in 2010. in Geomorphological Impacts of Extreme Weather: Case Studies From Central and Eastern Europe. 2013;:171-187.
doi:10.1007/978-94-007-6301-2_11
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12557 .
Mustafić, Sanja, Manojlović, Predrag, Milošević, Marko V., "Extreme erosion rates in the Nišava River Basin (eastern Serbia) in 2010" in Geomorphological Impacts of Extreme Weather: Case Studies From Central and Eastern Europe (2013):171-187,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-6301-2_11 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12557 .
3

Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types

Ducić, Vladan; Luković, Jelena; Burić, Dragan; Stanojević, Gorica; Mustafić, Sanja

(Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen, 2012)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Mustafić, Sanja
PY  - 2012
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12548
AB  - The aim of this paper is to analyse indices of extreme precipitation in Krivosije, Montenegro, the wettest Mediterranean region, from the period 1951-2007 and their relationships with atmospheric circulation using 'SynopVis Grosswetterlagen' (SVG) series. Data from two stations were analysed, namely Crkvice (42A degrees 34 ' N and 18A degrees 39 ' E) and Herceg Novi (42A degrees 27 ' N and 18A degrees 31 ' E). Four indices of precipitation extremes (SDII, R75p, R95p, R95pTOT) were assessed including number of dry days. The results suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased. To analyse the relationship between extreme precipitation events and circulation types we have used an efficiency coefficient (E-c). Regarding relation to atmospheric circulation, westerly, southwesterly and northwesterly circulation types with anticyclonic features over Central Europe are more frequent for dry days (days with R  lt  1.0 mm) and northerly, easterly and southerly types for wet and very wet days (R75p and R95p indices). The types with cyclonic condition over Central Europe show a large proportion of wet and very wet days. Also, activity of Genoa cyclogenesis and orographic influence over a small area are the main reasons for the high precipitation amounts recorded in the Krivosije region (Crkvice).
PB  - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
T2  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
T1  - Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types
SP  - 687
EP  - 697
VL  - 12
IS  - 3
DO  - 10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12548
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Luković, Jelena and Burić, Dragan and Stanojević, Gorica and Mustafić, Sanja",
year = "2012",
abstract = "The aim of this paper is to analyse indices of extreme precipitation in Krivosije, Montenegro, the wettest Mediterranean region, from the period 1951-2007 and their relationships with atmospheric circulation using 'SynopVis Grosswetterlagen' (SVG) series. Data from two stations were analysed, namely Crkvice (42A degrees 34 ' N and 18A degrees 39 ' E) and Herceg Novi (42A degrees 27 ' N and 18A degrees 31 ' E). Four indices of precipitation extremes (SDII, R75p, R95p, R95pTOT) were assessed including number of dry days. The results suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased. To analyse the relationship between extreme precipitation events and circulation types we have used an efficiency coefficient (E-c). Regarding relation to atmospheric circulation, westerly, southwesterly and northwesterly circulation types with anticyclonic features over Central Europe are more frequent for dry days (days with R  lt  1.0 mm) and northerly, easterly and southerly types for wet and very wet days (R75p and R95p indices). The types with cyclonic condition over Central Europe show a large proportion of wet and very wet days. Also, activity of Genoa cyclogenesis and orographic influence over a small area are the main reasons for the high precipitation amounts recorded in the Krivosije region (Crkvice).",
publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen",
journal = "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences",
title = "Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types",
pages = "687-697",
volume = "12",
number = "3",
doi = "10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12548"
}
Ducić, V., Luković, J., Burić, D., Stanojević, G.,& Mustafić, S.. (2012). Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types. in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 12(3), 687-697.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12548
Ducić V, Luković J, Burić D, Stanojević G, Mustafić S. Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types. in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2012;12(3):687-697.
doi:10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12548 .
Ducić, Vladan, Luković, Jelena, Burić, Dragan, Stanojević, Gorica, Mustafić, Sanja, "Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types" in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 12, no. 3 (2012):687-697,
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12548 .
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The use of NEOPLANTA model for evaluating the UV index in the Vojvodina region (Serbia)

Malinovic-Milicevic, Slavica; Mihailovic, Dragutin T.

(Netherlands : Elsevier Ltd., 2011)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Malinovic-Milicevic, Slavica
AU  - Mihailovic, Dragutin T.
PY  - 2011
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/13858
AB  - The increase in ultraviolet (UV) radiation in the last several decades caused intensive activities in its monitoring and forecast all over the world. Due to lack of ground measurements of UV index (UVI) in the Vojvodina region (Serbia), the numerical methods are an alternative to estimate its value. The values of the UVI in one hour time resolutions are calculated using the NEOPLANTA model. Model outputs have been compared with measurements recorded, during the spring and summer period of 2006, with the Yankee UVB-1 biometer located at the campus
of the University of Novi Sad, Novi Sad (Serbia). Obtained results show a good agreement with the UVI values for low cloudiness, while the largest uncertainties are associated with the higher amounts of ones. The strong correlation (0.815) and small absolute value of the difference of standard deviations in the simulations and the observations (0.102) for data with cloudiness≤6 and UVI≥3 indicates good model performances. Based on the overall results it can be concluded, in an acceptable level of accuracy, that the outputs of the NEOPLANTA model are an acceptable data source in the monitoring program of the UV radiation in the Vojvodina region in places having no actual  measurements.
PB  - Netherlands : Elsevier Ltd.
T2  - Atmospheric Research
T1  - The use of NEOPLANTA model for evaluating the UV index in the Vojvodina region (Serbia)
SP  - 621
EP  - 630
VL  - 101
IS  - 3
DO  - 10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.04.008
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13858
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Malinovic-Milicevic, Slavica and Mihailovic, Dragutin T.",
year = "2011",
abstract = "The increase in ultraviolet (UV) radiation in the last several decades caused intensive activities in its monitoring and forecast all over the world. Due to lack of ground measurements of UV index (UVI) in the Vojvodina region (Serbia), the numerical methods are an alternative to estimate its value. The values of the UVI in one hour time resolutions are calculated using the NEOPLANTA model. Model outputs have been compared with measurements recorded, during the spring and summer period of 2006, with the Yankee UVB-1 biometer located at the campus
of the University of Novi Sad, Novi Sad (Serbia). Obtained results show a good agreement with the UVI values for low cloudiness, while the largest uncertainties are associated with the higher amounts of ones. The strong correlation (0.815) and small absolute value of the difference of standard deviations in the simulations and the observations (0.102) for data with cloudiness≤6 and UVI≥3 indicates good model performances. Based on the overall results it can be concluded, in an acceptable level of accuracy, that the outputs of the NEOPLANTA model are an acceptable data source in the monitoring program of the UV radiation in the Vojvodina region in places having no actual  measurements.",
publisher = "Netherlands : Elsevier Ltd.",
journal = "Atmospheric Research",
title = "The use of NEOPLANTA model for evaluating the UV index in the Vojvodina region (Serbia)",
pages = "621-630",
volume = "101",
number = "3",
doi = "10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.04.008",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13858"
}
Malinovic-Milicevic, S.,& Mihailovic, D. T.. (2011). The use of NEOPLANTA model for evaluating the UV index in the Vojvodina region (Serbia). in Atmospheric Research
Netherlands : Elsevier Ltd.., 101(3), 621-630.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.04.008
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13858
Malinovic-Milicevic S, Mihailovic DT. The use of NEOPLANTA model for evaluating the UV index in the Vojvodina region (Serbia). in Atmospheric Research. 2011;101(3):621-630.
doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.04.008
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13858 .
Malinovic-Milicevic, Slavica, Mihailovic, Dragutin T., "The use of NEOPLANTA model for evaluating the UV index in the Vojvodina region (Serbia)" in Atmospheric Research, 101, no. 3 (2011):621-630,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.04.008 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13858 .
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