Ducić, Vladan

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  • Ducić, Vladan (16)
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Author's Bibliography

Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018

Mihajlović, Jovan; Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Milenković, Milan

(Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw, 2021)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12588
AB  - Recently Montenegro has often been faced with extreme weather events. The aim of this paper is to provide a detailed synoptic analysis of a severe weather event, a waterspout, and to confirm an indication that in most cases such events could potentially be forecasted, which is of great practical significance, since human lives and property can be saved. The paper presents the research results of synoptic and mesoscale weather conditions which created a favourable meteorological environment for a waterspout development in Tivat (Montenegrin coast) on June 9, 2018, around 01 UTC (03 CET). Based on field survey analysis, the rating of tornado intensity by the Fujita scale (F-scale) has been done by assessing the damage. The synoptic type for this situation was CLOSED-SW and was determined by a detailed examination of atmospheric circulation. The results presented in the manuscript can help decision makers in Montenegro to take certain adaptation measures (above all, in tourism and construction) in order to mitigate the negative consequences of weather extremes.
PB  - Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw
T2  - Geographia Polonica
T1  - Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018
SP  - 69
EP  - 90
VL  - 94
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.7163/GPol.0194
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12588
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan",
year = "2021",
abstract = "Recently Montenegro has often been faced with extreme weather events. The aim of this paper is to provide a detailed synoptic analysis of a severe weather event, a waterspout, and to confirm an indication that in most cases such events could potentially be forecasted, which is of great practical significance, since human lives and property can be saved. The paper presents the research results of synoptic and mesoscale weather conditions which created a favourable meteorological environment for a waterspout development in Tivat (Montenegrin coast) on June 9, 2018, around 01 UTC (03 CET). Based on field survey analysis, the rating of tornado intensity by the Fujita scale (F-scale) has been done by assessing the damage. The synoptic type for this situation was CLOSED-SW and was determined by a detailed examination of atmospheric circulation. The results presented in the manuscript can help decision makers in Montenegro to take certain adaptation measures (above all, in tourism and construction) in order to mitigate the negative consequences of weather extremes.",
publisher = "Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw",
journal = "Geographia Polonica",
title = "Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018",
pages = "69-90",
volume = "94",
number = "1",
doi = "10.7163/GPol.0194",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12588"
}
Mihajlović, J., Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Milenković, M.. (2021). Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018. in Geographia Polonica
Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw., 94(1), 69-90.
https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.0194
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12588
Mihajlović J, Burić D, Ducić V, Milenković M. Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018. in Geographia Polonica. 2021;94(1):69-90.
doi:10.7163/GPol.0194
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12588 .
Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, "Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018" in Geographia Polonica, 94, no. 1 (2021):69-90,
https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.0194 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12588 .

Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Burić, Dragan; Babić, Violeta

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12582
AB  - In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations
SP  - 75
EP  - 82
VL  - 69
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1901075M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Babić, Violeta",
year = "2019",
abstract = "In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations",
pages = "75-82",
volume = "69",
number = "1",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1901075M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Burić, D.,& Babić, V.. (2019). Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 69(1), 75-82.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582
Milenković M, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Burić D, Babić V. Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2019;69(1):75-82.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1901075M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Babić, Violeta, "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 69, no. 1 (2019):75-82,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582 .
2
3
3

The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)

Burić, Dragan; Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan

(Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd, 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12584
AB  - Danilovgrad and the Bjelopavlića Plain belong to the submediterranean zone of the Mediterranean climate region. The aim of this paper was to determine some specific characteristics of the Danilovgrad climate, such as the degree of continentality, aridity and bioclimatic characteristics. Data used in the research cover the period 1955-2011. The results of the study showed the dominance of the continental effect on temperature, while oceanicity was less pronounced. In hygric terms, during most of the year the climate of Danilovgrad is characterized as low humid to perhumid. Moreover, in the period October-March it is very humid, which points to the domination of oceanic influences. During the three summer months, it is dry to very dry. Based on the average monthly values of the equivalent temperature - an indicator of physiological (subjective) feeling of heat, the winter months in Danilovgrad are not assessed as very cold. It is cold in January, and in February and December it is cool. It is fresh in March and November, comfortable in April and October, and warm in May and September. In Danilovgrad, in summer it is overheated and a little muggy. All considered indicators point to quite pronounced oscillations during the year, especially in terms of humidity. Comparing the obtained results with Podgorica, it can be concluded that the climate of Danilovgrad is more continental, a bit colder and wetter.
AB  - Danilovgrad je centralno i najveće naselje na području Bjelopavlićke ravnice u Crnoj Gori. Sa klimatskog aspekta, područje Bjelopavlićke ravnice je pogodno za život i razvoj poljoprivrede. Međutim, u do sada poznatim klasifikacijama klime za Crnu Goru, dat je uopšteni opis pojedinih regija i mesta, uglavnom na osnovu analize srednjih mesečnih temperatura vazduha i količine padavina. Za Danilovgrad se može reći da ima blago modifikovnu mediteransku klimu, a to znači da su leta topla i prilično sušna, a zime blage i kišovite. Prema Kepenovoj klasifikaciji, klimatska formula Danilovgrada je Csa, prosečna godišnja temperatura je 14,60C, a godišnja suma padavina 2.216 mm. Cilj nam je bio da klimu ovog mesta što bolje i podrobnije opišemo, kroz analizu termičke kontinentalnosti, aridnosti i bioklimatske karakteristike. Analizom kombinovanih klimatskih elemenata, dat je kompleksniji prikaz i kvalitetnija karakterizacija klime Danilovgrada. Smatramo da će istraživanje imati značaja za lokalnu zajednicu u smislu boljeg razumevanja prirodnog okruženja i da se dobijeni rezultati mogu primeniti u poljoprivredi, vodoprivredi i energetici, turizmu i drugim delatnostima od važnosti za budući razvoj Danilovgrada i Crne Gore. Takođe, rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu biće korisni nauci, struci i opštem obrazovanju stanovništva, jer se radi o tematici koja sve više participira kod današnjeg čoveka. Za razmatranje specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada, korišćeni su podaci za instrumentalni period 1955-2011. Rezultati istraživanja su pokazali dominaciju kontinentalnog uticaja na temperaturu, dok je maritimnost slabije izražena. U higričkom smislu, tokom većeg dela godine klima Danilovgrada se karakteriše kao slabo humidna do perhumidna. Štaviše, u periodu oktobar - mart je veoma vlažno, što govori o dominaciji maritimnih upliva. Sušno do veoma sušno je tokom tri letnja meseca. Prema bioklimatskim pokazateljima, ni jedan mesec se ne karakteriše kao veoma hladan. Na osnovu srednjih mesečnih vrednosti ekvivalentne temperature, koja je korišćena kao pokazatelj fiziološkog (subjektivnog) osećaja toplote, tokom januara je hladno, a u februaru i decembru veoma prohladno. Sveže je u martu i novembru, ugodno u aprilu i oktobru, a toplo u maju i septembru. U Danilovgradu je leti pregrejano i malo zaparno. Svi razmatrani pokazatelji ukazuju na prilično izražene oscilacije tokom godine, naročito u pogledu vlažnosti. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da Danilovgrad ima slične termičke, higričke i bioklimatske karakteristike kao Podgorica (Burić et al., 2007), jer je rastojanje između ova dva grada oko 20 km. Ipak, Danilovgrad je više kontinentalniji, malo hladniji i vlažniji od Podgorice.
PB  - Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)
T1  - Specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada (Crna Gora)
SP  - 19
EP  - 28
VL  - 99
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1901019B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12584
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Danilovgrad and the Bjelopavlića Plain belong to the submediterranean zone of the Mediterranean climate region. The aim of this paper was to determine some specific characteristics of the Danilovgrad climate, such as the degree of continentality, aridity and bioclimatic characteristics. Data used in the research cover the period 1955-2011. The results of the study showed the dominance of the continental effect on temperature, while oceanicity was less pronounced. In hygric terms, during most of the year the climate of Danilovgrad is characterized as low humid to perhumid. Moreover, in the period October-March it is very humid, which points to the domination of oceanic influences. During the three summer months, it is dry to very dry. Based on the average monthly values of the equivalent temperature - an indicator of physiological (subjective) feeling of heat, the winter months in Danilovgrad are not assessed as very cold. It is cold in January, and in February and December it is cool. It is fresh in March and November, comfortable in April and October, and warm in May and September. In Danilovgrad, in summer it is overheated and a little muggy. All considered indicators point to quite pronounced oscillations during the year, especially in terms of humidity. Comparing the obtained results with Podgorica, it can be concluded that the climate of Danilovgrad is more continental, a bit colder and wetter., Danilovgrad je centralno i najveće naselje na području Bjelopavlićke ravnice u Crnoj Gori. Sa klimatskog aspekta, područje Bjelopavlićke ravnice je pogodno za život i razvoj poljoprivrede. Međutim, u do sada poznatim klasifikacijama klime za Crnu Goru, dat je uopšteni opis pojedinih regija i mesta, uglavnom na osnovu analize srednjih mesečnih temperatura vazduha i količine padavina. Za Danilovgrad se može reći da ima blago modifikovnu mediteransku klimu, a to znači da su leta topla i prilično sušna, a zime blage i kišovite. Prema Kepenovoj klasifikaciji, klimatska formula Danilovgrada je Csa, prosečna godišnja temperatura je 14,60C, a godišnja suma padavina 2.216 mm. Cilj nam je bio da klimu ovog mesta što bolje i podrobnije opišemo, kroz analizu termičke kontinentalnosti, aridnosti i bioklimatske karakteristike. Analizom kombinovanih klimatskih elemenata, dat je kompleksniji prikaz i kvalitetnija karakterizacija klime Danilovgrada. Smatramo da će istraživanje imati značaja za lokalnu zajednicu u smislu boljeg razumevanja prirodnog okruženja i da se dobijeni rezultati mogu primeniti u poljoprivredi, vodoprivredi i energetici, turizmu i drugim delatnostima od važnosti za budući razvoj Danilovgrada i Crne Gore. Takođe, rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu biće korisni nauci, struci i opštem obrazovanju stanovništva, jer se radi o tematici koja sve više participira kod današnjeg čoveka. Za razmatranje specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada, korišćeni su podaci za instrumentalni period 1955-2011. Rezultati istraživanja su pokazali dominaciju kontinentalnog uticaja na temperaturu, dok je maritimnost slabije izražena. U higričkom smislu, tokom većeg dela godine klima Danilovgrada se karakteriše kao slabo humidna do perhumidna. Štaviše, u periodu oktobar - mart je veoma vlažno, što govori o dominaciji maritimnih upliva. Sušno do veoma sušno je tokom tri letnja meseca. Prema bioklimatskim pokazateljima, ni jedan mesec se ne karakteriše kao veoma hladan. Na osnovu srednjih mesečnih vrednosti ekvivalentne temperature, koja je korišćena kao pokazatelj fiziološkog (subjektivnog) osećaja toplote, tokom januara je hladno, a u februaru i decembru veoma prohladno. Sveže je u martu i novembru, ugodno u aprilu i oktobru, a toplo u maju i septembru. U Danilovgradu je leti pregrejano i malo zaparno. Svi razmatrani pokazatelji ukazuju na prilično izražene oscilacije tokom godine, naročito u pogledu vlažnosti. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da Danilovgrad ima slične termičke, higričke i bioklimatske karakteristike kao Podgorica (Burić et al., 2007), jer je rastojanje između ova dva grada oko 20 km. Ipak, Danilovgrad je više kontinentalniji, malo hladniji i vlažniji od Podgorice.",
publisher = "Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro), Specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada (Crna Gora)",
pages = "19-28",
volume = "99",
number = "1",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1901019B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12584"
}
Burić, D., Milenković, M.,& Ducić, V.. (2019). The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro). in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd., 99(1), 19-28.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1901019B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12584
Burić D, Milenković M, Ducić V. The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro). in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2019;99(1):19-28.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1901019B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12584 .
Burić, Dragan, Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, "The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 99, no. 1 (2019):19-28,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1901019B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12584 .
1

Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification

Milovanović, Boško; Ducić, Vladan; Radovanović, Milan; Milivojević, Milovan

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
AU  - Milivojević, Milovan
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12570
AB  - The paper presents a concise overview of the theoretical framework on which climate classifications are based. Beside short review of climate classifications, namely climatic regionalization for Serbia (or wider area including Serbia), main deficiency of these research was ascertained (which primarily relate to the period on the basis of which climate regionalization was carried out). The criteria of the Koppen climate classification are presented, on the basis of which the climate regionalization of Serbia has been carried out. The methodology of making maps of air temperatures and precipitation amounts has been described, on the basis of which a map of the climate regions of Serbia has been created. Spatial distribution of the types and subtypes of the climates in Serbia has been briefly described. It has been pointed to the constraints of the climate regionalization that arise from the theoretical bases of the climate classifications, but also from nature of the collected data and the applied methodology.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification
SP  - 103
EP  - 114
VL  - 67
IS  - 2
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1702103M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12570
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milovanović, Boško and Ducić, Vladan and Radovanović, Milan and Milivojević, Milovan",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The paper presents a concise overview of the theoretical framework on which climate classifications are based. Beside short review of climate classifications, namely climatic regionalization for Serbia (or wider area including Serbia), main deficiency of these research was ascertained (which primarily relate to the period on the basis of which climate regionalization was carried out). The criteria of the Koppen climate classification are presented, on the basis of which the climate regionalization of Serbia has been carried out. The methodology of making maps of air temperatures and precipitation amounts has been described, on the basis of which a map of the climate regions of Serbia has been created. Spatial distribution of the types and subtypes of the climates in Serbia has been briefly described. It has been pointed to the constraints of the climate regionalization that arise from the theoretical bases of the climate classifications, but also from nature of the collected data and the applied methodology.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification",
pages = "103-114",
volume = "67",
number = "2",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1702103M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12570"
}
Milovanović, B., Ducić, V., Radovanović, M.,& Milivojević, M.. (2017). Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 67(2), 103-114.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702103M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12570
Milovanović B, Ducić V, Radovanović M, Milivojević M. Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2017;67(2):103-114.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1702103M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12570 .
Milovanović, Boško, Ducić, Vladan, Radovanović, Milan, Milivojević, Milovan, "Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 67, no. 2 (2017):103-114,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702103M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12570 .
11
13

The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia

Milenković, Milan; Savić, Dragan; Walker, David; Dedić, Aleksandar; Ducić, Vladan

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Savić, Dragan
AU  - Walker, David
AU  - Dedić, Aleksandar
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12574
AB  - The data on the water temperature of the Sava in Serbia (hydrological stations Sabac and Belgrade, period 1961-2015) were used for the research, as well as the data on the surface air temperature. The temperature trends were determined and the significance (at p  lt = 0.05 and p  lt = 0.01) was established on the basis of the t-test. The Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used for the calculation of the correlation. Increasing trends of the water temperature of the Sava were recorded in all cases at both stations. However, in the case of the HS Sabac, the trends for 6 months (February-April and September-November) were not statistically significant. In the case of the HS Belgrade, all the calculations (except for April) showed statistically significant increasing trends, which can be explained by anthropogenic influence. High level of correlation between the surface air temperature and the water temperature was also determined. In this research, the lowest values of R were recorded for October (0.561 for Belgrade), and on the seasonal level, for autumn (0.625 for Sabac). The research on the correlation between the water temperature of the Sava River and the NAO index showed the highest values of R for January (0.512 for HS Sabac and 0.528 for HS Belgrade). On the seasonal level, the highest values were recorded for winter (0.422 for HS Sabac and 0.432 for HS Belgrade).
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia
SP  - 135
EP  - 144
VL  - 67
IS  - 2
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1702135M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12574
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Savić, Dragan and Walker, David and Dedić, Aleksandar and Ducić, Vladan",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The data on the water temperature of the Sava in Serbia (hydrological stations Sabac and Belgrade, period 1961-2015) were used for the research, as well as the data on the surface air temperature. The temperature trends were determined and the significance (at p  lt = 0.05 and p  lt = 0.01) was established on the basis of the t-test. The Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used for the calculation of the correlation. Increasing trends of the water temperature of the Sava were recorded in all cases at both stations. However, in the case of the HS Sabac, the trends for 6 months (February-April and September-November) were not statistically significant. In the case of the HS Belgrade, all the calculations (except for April) showed statistically significant increasing trends, which can be explained by anthropogenic influence. High level of correlation between the surface air temperature and the water temperature was also determined. In this research, the lowest values of R were recorded for October (0.561 for Belgrade), and on the seasonal level, for autumn (0.625 for Sabac). The research on the correlation between the water temperature of the Sava River and the NAO index showed the highest values of R for January (0.512 for HS Sabac and 0.528 for HS Belgrade). On the seasonal level, the highest values were recorded for winter (0.422 for HS Sabac and 0.432 for HS Belgrade).",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia",
pages = "135-144",
volume = "67",
number = "2",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1702135M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12574"
}
Milenković, M., Savić, D., Walker, D., Dedić, A.,& Ducić, V.. (2017). The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 67(2), 135-144.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702135M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12574
Milenković M, Savić D, Walker D, Dedić A, Ducić V. The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2017;67(2):135-144.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1702135M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12574 .
Milenković, Milan, Savić, Dragan, Walker, David, Dedić, Aleksandar, Ducić, Vladan, "The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 67, no. 2 (2017):135-144,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702135M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12574 .
1
1

Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)

Milenković, Milan; Yamashkin, Anatoly A.; Ducić, Vladan; Babić, Violeta; Govedar, Zoran

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Yamashkin, Anatoly A.
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
AU  - Govedar, Zoran
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12576
AB  - The data on forest fires in Portugal in the period 1980-2015 were used in the research: the annual number of forest fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire. Increasing trend of the annual number of forest fires (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01), nonsignificant increasing trend of the annual burned area and decreasing trend of the average burned area per fire (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01) were recorded. Portugal is the most endangered country by forest fires in comparison with the other European countries. During the research period, fires in Portugal covered 23.6% of the total burned area in five the most affected European countries (Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece). In the research of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of the AMO index were used in calculations. All R values recorded for the annual number of fires were positive and statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01. The highest values were recorded for August (0.543) and for summer (0.525). With the annual burned area all R values were also positive and the highest one on the seasonal level was for summer (0.359). With the average burned area per fire all R values were negative (-0.428 was recorded for winter). The results of the research could be applied in the fire danger forecast for periods of several months. Other climate indices should also be considered in future research.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)
SP  - 27
EP  - 35
VL  - 67
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1701027M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12576
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Yamashkin, Anatoly A. and Ducić, Vladan and Babić, Violeta and Govedar, Zoran",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The data on forest fires in Portugal in the period 1980-2015 were used in the research: the annual number of forest fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire. Increasing trend of the annual number of forest fires (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01), nonsignificant increasing trend of the annual burned area and decreasing trend of the average burned area per fire (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01) were recorded. Portugal is the most endangered country by forest fires in comparison with the other European countries. During the research period, fires in Portugal covered 23.6% of the total burned area in five the most affected European countries (Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece). In the research of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of the AMO index were used in calculations. All R values recorded for the annual number of fires were positive and statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01. The highest values were recorded for August (0.543) and for summer (0.525). With the annual burned area all R values were also positive and the highest one on the seasonal level was for summer (0.359). With the average burned area per fire all R values were negative (-0.428 was recorded for winter). The results of the research could be applied in the fire danger forecast for periods of several months. Other climate indices should also be considered in future research.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)",
pages = "27-35",
volume = "67",
number = "1",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1701027M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12576"
}
Milenković, M., Yamashkin, A. A., Ducić, V., Babić, V.,& Govedar, Z.. (2017). Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 67(1), 27-35.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1701027M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12576
Milenković M, Yamashkin AA, Ducić V, Babić V, Govedar Z. Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2017;67(1):27-35.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1701027M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12576 .
Milenković, Milan, Yamashkin, Anatoly A., Ducić, Vladan, Babić, Violeta, Govedar, Zoran, "Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 67, no. 1 (2017):27-35,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1701027M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12576 .
2
4

The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan; Lazić, Bozidar

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2016)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Lazić, Bozidar
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12567
AB  - The study examines the connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires (the annual number of fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire) in France in the period 1980-2014. In order to determine the strength of the correlation connection Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of AMO were used in calculations, and one year phase shift was performed (the values for the previous year were used). In burned area the highest values of R on the monthly level were recorded for April (-0.474) and January (-0.470), and on the seasonal level for winter (-0.459) and spring (-0.447). These values are statistically significant at the level of p=0.01. By phase shifting the highest level of correlation was obtained for the autumn (-0.489). In the average burned area per fire on a monthly level the highest value of R was for January (-0.522), and on seasonal for winter (-0.506). By phase shifting the highest value of R was obtained for autumn (-0.522). In the number of fires the highest values were recorded by phase shifting for September (-0.382) and autumn (-0.337). All R values recorded during the study had a negative sign (the correlation is antiphase). In addition, downward trends were determined for all three examined indicators of forest fires in the researched period (1980-2014). Results of the research could be used as a basis for the long-term forecast of the risk of forest fires, and the approach used in the research could be applied for the other areas of the world. However, the more detailed research of the effects of other teleconnections are necessary.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014
SP  - 35
EP  - 44
VL  - 66
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1601035M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12567
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan and Lazić, Bozidar",
year = "2016",
abstract = "The study examines the connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires (the annual number of fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire) in France in the period 1980-2014. In order to determine the strength of the correlation connection Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of AMO were used in calculations, and one year phase shift was performed (the values for the previous year were used). In burned area the highest values of R on the monthly level were recorded for April (-0.474) and January (-0.470), and on the seasonal level for winter (-0.459) and spring (-0.447). These values are statistically significant at the level of p=0.01. By phase shifting the highest level of correlation was obtained for the autumn (-0.489). In the average burned area per fire on a monthly level the highest value of R was for January (-0.522), and on seasonal for winter (-0.506). By phase shifting the highest value of R was obtained for autumn (-0.522). In the number of fires the highest values were recorded by phase shifting for September (-0.382) and autumn (-0.337). All R values recorded during the study had a negative sign (the correlation is antiphase). In addition, downward trends were determined for all three examined indicators of forest fires in the researched period (1980-2014). Results of the research could be used as a basis for the long-term forecast of the risk of forest fires, and the approach used in the research could be applied for the other areas of the world. However, the more detailed research of the effects of other teleconnections are necessary.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014",
pages = "35-44",
volume = "66",
number = "1",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1601035M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12567"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Burić, D.,& Lazić, B.. (2016). The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 66(1), 35-44.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601035M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12567
Milenković M, Ducić V, Burić D, Lazić B. The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2016;66(1):35-44.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1601035M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12567 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, Lazić, Bozidar, "The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 66, no. 1 (2016):35-44,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601035M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12567 .
2
4

Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)

Ducić, Vladan; Milenković, Milan; Milijašević, Dragana; Vujačić, Duško M.; Bjeljac, Željko; Lović, Suzana L.; Gajić, Mirjana; Anđelković, Goran; Đorđević, Aleksandar

(Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd, 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Milijašević, Dragana
AU  - Vujačić, Duško M.
AU  - Bjeljac, Željko
AU  - Lović, Suzana L.
AU  - Gajić, Mirjana
AU  - Anđelković, Goran
AU  - Đorđević, Aleksandar
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12563
AB  - The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature (0.039 degrees C per year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February. A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years), and February (49 years). The highest correlations between water temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60), the AMO in autumn (0.52), and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water temperature of the Danube.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)
SP  - S467
EP  - S476
VL  - 19
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI150430133D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan and Milijašević, Dragana and Vujačić, Duško M. and Bjeljac, Željko and Lović, Suzana L. and Gajić, Mirjana and Anđelković, Goran and Đorđević, Aleksandar",
year = "2015",
abstract = "The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature (0.039 degrees C per year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February. A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years), and February (49 years). The highest correlations between water temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60), the AMO in autumn (0.52), and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water temperature of the Danube.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)",
pages = "S467-S476",
volume = "19",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI150430133D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563"
}
Ducić, V., Milenković, M., Milijašević, D., Vujačić, D. M., Bjeljac, Ž., Lović, S. L., Gajić, M., Anđelković, G.,& Đorđević, A.. (2015). Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia). in Thermal Science
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd., 19, S467-S476.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430133D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563
Ducić V, Milenković M, Milijašević D, Vujačić DM, Bjeljac Ž, Lović SL, Gajić M, Anđelković G, Đorđević A. Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia). in Thermal Science. 2015;19:S467-S476.
doi:10.2298/TSCI150430133D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563 .
Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, Milijašević, Dragana, Vujačić, Duško M., Bjeljac, Željko, Lović, Suzana L., Gajić, Mirjana, Anđelković, Goran, Đorđević, Aleksandar, "Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)" in Thermal Science, 19 (2015):S467-S476,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430133D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563 .
5
4
4
4

Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)

Ducić, Vladan; Ivanović, Rade; Mihajlović, Jovan; Gnjato, Rajko; Trbić, Goran; Ćurčić, Nina

(Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr., 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Ivanović, Rade
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Gnjato, Rajko
AU  - Trbić, Goran
AU  - Ćurčić, Nina
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12565
AB  - The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using the dendrochronological method in drought prediction in eastern Bosnia. As an indicator of drought, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used. In the wider area of Rogatica (eastern Bosnia), 11 core samples from trees were taken. The best connection between the width of tree rings and drought was shown by the sample of a 67-year-old European silver fir (Abies alba) from the mountain Boksanica. Removal of the biological trend (standardization) was performed by the autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) method. Calculations showed that precipitation, i.e. drought in the summer months, is crucial for radial increment of the sample. The obtained results of our research have been confirmed in examples in the region and further.
PB  - Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.
T2  - Archives of Biological Sciences
T1  - Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)
SP  - 201
EP  - 211
VL  - 67
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.2298/ABS141114025D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12565
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Ivanović, Rade and Mihajlović, Jovan and Gnjato, Rajko and Trbić, Goran and Ćurčić, Nina",
year = "2015",
abstract = "The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using the dendrochronological method in drought prediction in eastern Bosnia. As an indicator of drought, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used. In the wider area of Rogatica (eastern Bosnia), 11 core samples from trees were taken. The best connection between the width of tree rings and drought was shown by the sample of a 67-year-old European silver fir (Abies alba) from the mountain Boksanica. Removal of the biological trend (standardization) was performed by the autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) method. Calculations showed that precipitation, i.e. drought in the summer months, is crucial for radial increment of the sample. The obtained results of our research have been confirmed in examples in the region and further.",
publisher = "Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.",
journal = "Archives of Biological Sciences",
title = "Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)",
pages = "201-211",
volume = "67",
number = "1",
doi = "10.2298/ABS141114025D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12565"
}
Ducić, V., Ivanović, R., Mihajlović, J., Gnjato, R., Trbić, G.,& Ćurčić, N.. (2015). Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia). in Archives of Biological Sciences
Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.., 67(1), 201-211.
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS141114025D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12565
Ducić V, Ivanović R, Mihajlović J, Gnjato R, Trbić G, Ćurčić N. Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia). in Archives of Biological Sciences. 2015;67(1):201-211.
doi:10.2298/ABS141114025D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12565 .
Ducić, Vladan, Ivanović, Rade, Mihajlović, Jovan, Gnjato, Rajko, Trbić, Goran, Ćurčić, Nina, "Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)" in Archives of Biological Sciences, 67, no. 1 (2015):201-211,
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS141114025D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12565 .
2
2
3

Climate changes instead of global warming

Radovanović, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Mukherjee, Saumitra

(Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mukherjee, Saumitra
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12558
AB  - Air temperature changes on Earth in recent years are the subject of numerous and increasingly interdisciplinary research. In contrast to, conditionally speaking, generally accepted views that these changes are conditioned primarily by anthropogenic activity, more results appear to suggest that it is dominant natural processes about. Whether because of the proven existence of areas in which downtrends are registered or the stagnation of air temperature, as opposed to areas where the increase is determined, in scientific papers, as well as the media, the increasingly present is the use of the term climate changes instead of the global warming. In this paper, we shall try to present arguments for the debate relating to the official view of the Intergovernmental panel on climate change, as well as research indicating the opposite view.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Climate changes instead of global warming
SP  - 1055
EP  - 1061
VL  - 18
IS  - 3
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI140610076R
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12558
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Radovanović, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Mukherjee, Saumitra",
year = "2014",
abstract = "Air temperature changes on Earth in recent years are the subject of numerous and increasingly interdisciplinary research. In contrast to, conditionally speaking, generally accepted views that these changes are conditioned primarily by anthropogenic activity, more results appear to suggest that it is dominant natural processes about. Whether because of the proven existence of areas in which downtrends are registered or the stagnation of air temperature, as opposed to areas where the increase is determined, in scientific papers, as well as the media, the increasingly present is the use of the term climate changes instead of the global warming. In this paper, we shall try to present arguments for the debate relating to the official view of the Intergovernmental panel on climate change, as well as research indicating the opposite view.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Climate changes instead of global warming",
pages = "1055-1061",
volume = "18",
number = "3",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI140610076R",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12558"
}
Radovanović, M., Ducić, V.,& Mukherjee, S.. (2014). Climate changes instead of global warming. in Thermal Science
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd., 18(3), 1055-1061.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI140610076R
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12558
Radovanović M, Ducić V, Mukherjee S. Climate changes instead of global warming. in Thermal Science. 2014;18(3):1055-1061.
doi:10.2298/TSCI140610076R
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12558 .
Radovanović, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Mukherjee, Saumitra, "Climate changes instead of global warming" in Thermal Science, 18, no. 3 (2014):1055-1061,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI140610076R .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12558 .
2
4
4

Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia)

Milenković, Milan; Radovanović, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Milošević, Marko V.

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2013)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milošević, Marko V.
PY  - 2013
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12554
AB  - Purpose - The aim of the paper was to investigate the major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara, as well as to analyze the efficiency of fire protection measures. Design / methodology / approach - The analysis included interviews with participants in extinguishing the major fires. The questions referred to the course of fires, as well as to the main fire protection disadvantages. The documentation of the 'Banat' Forest Management - Pančevo (Public Enterprise 'Vojvodinašume') was also used in the paper for the period 1948-2012. Findings - The major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara in the studied period were recorded in 1973, 1990, 1996 and 2007. Although they account for only about 1.5 % of the total number of fires, they collectively have invaded more than half of the total burnt area and more than two-thirds of the forest area. According to the surveys, the main characteristics of these fires were: frequent appearance of new fire hot spots, strong wind variable in direction which crucially affects the spread of fire and the impossibility of direct action on fire. The main disadvantages of fire protection were: inefficiency of fire breaks, blockage of forest roads for the passage of vehicles and the lack of the modern means of fire protection equipment. Research limitations / implications - Given the specificities of the studied area (the absence of surface water, sandy soils, microclimate conditions and vegetation composition), the research results cannot be fully generalized for Serbia. Practical implications - The research results indicate the need for making changes in the fire prevention system, as well as the possibility of fire danger forecast based on the heliocentric hypothesis. Originality / value - What has been the importance of the paper is that it provides the basis for a new approach to the planning of fire prevention measures.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia)
SP  - 269
EP  - 278
VL  - 63
IS  - 3
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1303269M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12554
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Radovanović, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Milošević, Marko V.",
year = "2013",
abstract = "Purpose - The aim of the paper was to investigate the major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara, as well as to analyze the efficiency of fire protection measures. Design / methodology / approach - The analysis included interviews with participants in extinguishing the major fires. The questions referred to the course of fires, as well as to the main fire protection disadvantages. The documentation of the 'Banat' Forest Management - Pančevo (Public Enterprise 'Vojvodinašume') was also used in the paper for the period 1948-2012. Findings - The major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara in the studied period were recorded in 1973, 1990, 1996 and 2007. Although they account for only about 1.5 % of the total number of fires, they collectively have invaded more than half of the total burnt area and more than two-thirds of the forest area. According to the surveys, the main characteristics of these fires were: frequent appearance of new fire hot spots, strong wind variable in direction which crucially affects the spread of fire and the impossibility of direct action on fire. The main disadvantages of fire protection were: inefficiency of fire breaks, blockage of forest roads for the passage of vehicles and the lack of the modern means of fire protection equipment. Research limitations / implications - Given the specificities of the studied area (the absence of surface water, sandy soils, microclimate conditions and vegetation composition), the research results cannot be fully generalized for Serbia. Practical implications - The research results indicate the need for making changes in the fire prevention system, as well as the possibility of fire danger forecast based on the heliocentric hypothesis. Originality / value - What has been the importance of the paper is that it provides the basis for a new approach to the planning of fire prevention measures.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia)",
pages = "269-278",
volume = "63",
number = "3",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1303269M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12554"
}
Milenković, M., Radovanović, M., Ducić, V.,& Milošević, M. V.. (2013). Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 63(3), 269-278.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1303269M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12554
Milenković M, Radovanović M, Ducić V, Milošević MV. Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2013;63(3):269-278.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1303269M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12554 .
Milenković, Milan, Radovanović, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Milošević, Marko V., "Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia)" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 63, no. 3 (2013):269-278,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1303269M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12554 .
2

Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types

Ducić, Vladan; Luković, Jelena; Burić, Dragan; Stanojević, Gorica; Mustafić, Sanja

(Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen, 2012)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Mustafić, Sanja
PY  - 2012
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12548
AB  - The aim of this paper is to analyse indices of extreme precipitation in Krivosije, Montenegro, the wettest Mediterranean region, from the period 1951-2007 and their relationships with atmospheric circulation using 'SynopVis Grosswetterlagen' (SVG) series. Data from two stations were analysed, namely Crkvice (42A degrees 34 ' N and 18A degrees 39 ' E) and Herceg Novi (42A degrees 27 ' N and 18A degrees 31 ' E). Four indices of precipitation extremes (SDII, R75p, R95p, R95pTOT) were assessed including number of dry days. The results suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased. To analyse the relationship between extreme precipitation events and circulation types we have used an efficiency coefficient (E-c). Regarding relation to atmospheric circulation, westerly, southwesterly and northwesterly circulation types with anticyclonic features over Central Europe are more frequent for dry days (days with R  lt  1.0 mm) and northerly, easterly and southerly types for wet and very wet days (R75p and R95p indices). The types with cyclonic condition over Central Europe show a large proportion of wet and very wet days. Also, activity of Genoa cyclogenesis and orographic influence over a small area are the main reasons for the high precipitation amounts recorded in the Krivosije region (Crkvice).
PB  - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
T2  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
T1  - Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types
SP  - 687
EP  - 697
VL  - 12
IS  - 3
DO  - 10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12548
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Luković, Jelena and Burić, Dragan and Stanojević, Gorica and Mustafić, Sanja",
year = "2012",
abstract = "The aim of this paper is to analyse indices of extreme precipitation in Krivosije, Montenegro, the wettest Mediterranean region, from the period 1951-2007 and their relationships with atmospheric circulation using 'SynopVis Grosswetterlagen' (SVG) series. Data from two stations were analysed, namely Crkvice (42A degrees 34 ' N and 18A degrees 39 ' E) and Herceg Novi (42A degrees 27 ' N and 18A degrees 31 ' E). Four indices of precipitation extremes (SDII, R75p, R95p, R95pTOT) were assessed including number of dry days. The results suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased. To analyse the relationship between extreme precipitation events and circulation types we have used an efficiency coefficient (E-c). Regarding relation to atmospheric circulation, westerly, southwesterly and northwesterly circulation types with anticyclonic features over Central Europe are more frequent for dry days (days with R  lt  1.0 mm) and northerly, easterly and southerly types for wet and very wet days (R75p and R95p indices). The types with cyclonic condition over Central Europe show a large proportion of wet and very wet days. Also, activity of Genoa cyclogenesis and orographic influence over a small area are the main reasons for the high precipitation amounts recorded in the Krivosije region (Crkvice).",
publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen",
journal = "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences",
title = "Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types",
pages = "687-697",
volume = "12",
number = "3",
doi = "10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12548"
}
Ducić, V., Luković, J., Burić, D., Stanojević, G.,& Mustafić, S.. (2012). Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types. in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 12(3), 687-697.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12548
Ducić V, Luković J, Burić D, Stanojević G, Mustafić S. Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types. in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2012;12(3):687-697.
doi:10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12548 .
Ducić, Vladan, Luković, Jelena, Burić, Dragan, Stanojević, Gorica, Mustafić, Sanja, "Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types" in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 12, no. 3 (2012):687-697,
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12548 .
32
34
35

Identification of recent factors that affect the formation of the upper tree line in eastern Serbia

Ducić, Vladan; Milovanović, Boško; Đurđić, Snežana

(Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr., 2011)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
AU  - Đurđić, Snežana
PY  - 2011
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12545
AB  - The recent climate changes, among others, have contributed to the change in elevation of the upper tree line in high mountainous areas. At the same time, direct anthropogenic impact on the fragile ecosystems of high mountains has also been significant. The aim of this paper is to determine the actual dynamics of the formation of upper tree line in eastern Serbia and to identify the recent factors which condition it. The results obtained show that preconditions have been accomplished for the upper tree line increase, but this has not completely been confirmed by previous field researches.
PB  - Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.
T2  - Archives of Biological Sciences
T1  - Identification of recent factors that affect the formation of the upper tree line in eastern Serbia
SP  - 825
EP  - 830
VL  - 63
IS  - 3
DO  - 10.2298/ABS1103825D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12545
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milovanović, Boško and Đurđić, Snežana",
year = "2011",
abstract = "The recent climate changes, among others, have contributed to the change in elevation of the upper tree line in high mountainous areas. At the same time, direct anthropogenic impact on the fragile ecosystems of high mountains has also been significant. The aim of this paper is to determine the actual dynamics of the formation of upper tree line in eastern Serbia and to identify the recent factors which condition it. The results obtained show that preconditions have been accomplished for the upper tree line increase, but this has not completely been confirmed by previous field researches.",
publisher = "Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.",
journal = "Archives of Biological Sciences",
title = "Identification of recent factors that affect the formation of the upper tree line in eastern Serbia",
pages = "825-830",
volume = "63",
number = "3",
doi = "10.2298/ABS1103825D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12545"
}
Ducić, V., Milovanović, B.,& Đurđić, S.. (2011). Identification of recent factors that affect the formation of the upper tree line in eastern Serbia. in Archives of Biological Sciences
Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.., 63(3), 825-830.
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS1103825D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12545
Ducić V, Milovanović B, Đurđić S. Identification of recent factors that affect the formation of the upper tree line in eastern Serbia. in Archives of Biological Sciences. 2011;63(3):825-830.
doi:10.2298/ABS1103825D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12545 .
Ducić, Vladan, Milovanović, Boško, Đurđić, Snežana, "Identification of recent factors that affect the formation of the upper tree line in eastern Serbia" in Archives of Biological Sciences, 63, no. 3 (2011):825-830,
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS1103825D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12545 .
3
3
4

Promene količine padavina u Podgorici u periodu 1951-2010

Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan; Luković, Jelena; Stanojević, Gorica

(Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd, 2011)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
PY  - 2011
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12546
AB  - Globalno otopljavanje i kolebanje klime je aktuelna i izazovna tema. Pitanje koje se u poslednje vreme najčešće postavlja je: da li se menja današnja klima? Istraživanja iz ove problematike su uglavnom vezana za dva najvažnija klimatska elementa - temperaturu vazduha i količinu padavina. Obzirom da smo neka istraživanja već radili, a bila su vezana za utvrđivanje promena temperature vazduha u Crnoj Gori, osnovni cilj ovog rada je bio da se utvrdi šta se dešava sa padavinskim prilikama u Podgorici u periodu sistematskih osmatranja - da li promene postoje, u kojem obimu i da li su one značajne. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da se sa akumuliranim padavinama u Podgorici, u periodu 1951-2010., ništa bitnije ne dešava, kako na sezonskom tako i na godišnjem nivou. Međugodišnje varijacije, koje inače karakterišu ovaj element, nisu povećane u poslednje vreme. Trend komponenta pokazuje izvesne promene, ali su one statistički nesignifikantne. Dosadašnji rezultati istraživanja padavinskih prilika na području Podgorice ne uklapaju se sasvim u koncept Međuvladinog panela za klimatske promene (IPCC), koji predviđa opšte smanjenje količine padavina u našim krajevima i povećanje varijabilnosti.
AB  - The global warming and climate change are the actual and challenging topics. Recently there is one question, frequently asked: whether today's climate is changing? The studies of this issues are mainly related to the two the most important climatic elements - air temperature and precipitation amounts. We have done research about temperature variability for Montenegro and the main aim of this paper is analysis precipitation changes for station Podgorica (Montenegro) in the period of systematic observation - are there changes, to what extent and whether they are significant. According to the results, accumulated precipitation do not show significant changes for annual and seasonal values in the period 1951-2010. The interannual variations of the precipitation (which are characteristic for this climate element) do not show increases in recent times. The component trend shows some changes, but statistically insignificant. The previous results for precipitation conditions in Podgorica are not in accordance with the concept of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which predicted a general decrease in precipitation and increase variability on this area.
PB  - Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Promene količine padavina u Podgorici u periodu 1951-2010
SP  - 51
EP  - 70
VL  - 91
IS  - 2
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12546
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan and Luković, Jelena and Stanojević, Gorica",
year = "2011",
abstract = "Globalno otopljavanje i kolebanje klime je aktuelna i izazovna tema. Pitanje koje se u poslednje vreme najčešće postavlja je: da li se menja današnja klima? Istraživanja iz ove problematike su uglavnom vezana za dva najvažnija klimatska elementa - temperaturu vazduha i količinu padavina. Obzirom da smo neka istraživanja već radili, a bila su vezana za utvrđivanje promena temperature vazduha u Crnoj Gori, osnovni cilj ovog rada je bio da se utvrdi šta se dešava sa padavinskim prilikama u Podgorici u periodu sistematskih osmatranja - da li promene postoje, u kojem obimu i da li su one značajne. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da se sa akumuliranim padavinama u Podgorici, u periodu 1951-2010., ništa bitnije ne dešava, kako na sezonskom tako i na godišnjem nivou. Međugodišnje varijacije, koje inače karakterišu ovaj element, nisu povećane u poslednje vreme. Trend komponenta pokazuje izvesne promene, ali su one statistički nesignifikantne. Dosadašnji rezultati istraživanja padavinskih prilika na području Podgorice ne uklapaju se sasvim u koncept Međuvladinog panela za klimatske promene (IPCC), koji predviđa opšte smanjenje količine padavina u našim krajevima i povećanje varijabilnosti., The global warming and climate change are the actual and challenging topics. Recently there is one question, frequently asked: whether today's climate is changing? The studies of this issues are mainly related to the two the most important climatic elements - air temperature and precipitation amounts. We have done research about temperature variability for Montenegro and the main aim of this paper is analysis precipitation changes for station Podgorica (Montenegro) in the period of systematic observation - are there changes, to what extent and whether they are significant. According to the results, accumulated precipitation do not show significant changes for annual and seasonal values in the period 1951-2010. The interannual variations of the precipitation (which are characteristic for this climate element) do not show increases in recent times. The component trend shows some changes, but statistically insignificant. The previous results for precipitation conditions in Podgorica are not in accordance with the concept of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which predicted a general decrease in precipitation and increase variability on this area.",
publisher = "Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Promene količine padavina u Podgorici u periodu 1951-2010",
pages = "51-70",
volume = "91",
number = "2",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12546"
}
Ducić, V., Burić, D., Luković, J.,& Stanojević, G.. (2011). Promene količine padavina u Podgorici u periodu 1951-2010. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd., 91(2), 51-70.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12546
Ducić V, Burić D, Luković J, Stanojević G. Promene količine padavina u Podgorici u periodu 1951-2010. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2011;91(2):51-70.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12546 .
Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, Luković, Jelena, Stanojević, Gorica, "Promene količine padavina u Podgorici u periodu 1951-2010" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 91, no. 2 (2011):51-70,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12546 .

The influence of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz on outbreaks of gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) in Serbia

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Milovanović, Boško

(Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo i dr., 2010)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
PY  - 2010
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/11886
AB  - The connection between the solar flux at 2.8 GHz (based on mean monthly values) and the outbreaks of gypsy moths (Lymantria dispar L.) in Serbia was investigated. The researches included six outbreaks from 1952 to 2007. The average values of the solar flux ranged between 83.8 and 101.8 sfu during the outbreaks, whereas they were between 147.9 and 188.3 sfu for the periods without outbreaks. The results of the research showed that the increase in the number of gypsy moths appears when the values of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz range from 70 to 120 sfu.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo i dr.
T2  - Archives of Biological Sciences
T1  - The influence of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz on outbreaks of gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) in Serbia
SP  - 1021
EP  - 1025
VL  - 62
IS  - 4
DO  - 10.2298/ABS1004021M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_11886
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Milovanović, Boško",
year = "2010",
abstract = "The connection between the solar flux at 2.8 GHz (based on mean monthly values) and the outbreaks of gypsy moths (Lymantria dispar L.) in Serbia was investigated. The researches included six outbreaks from 1952 to 2007. The average values of the solar flux ranged between 83.8 and 101.8 sfu during the outbreaks, whereas they were between 147.9 and 188.3 sfu for the periods without outbreaks. The results of the research showed that the increase in the number of gypsy moths appears when the values of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz range from 70 to 120 sfu.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo i dr.",
journal = "Archives of Biological Sciences",
title = "The influence of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz on outbreaks of gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) in Serbia",
pages = "1021-1025",
volume = "62",
number = "4",
doi = "10.2298/ABS1004021M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_11886"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V.,& Milovanović, B.. (2010). The influence of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz on outbreaks of gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) in Serbia. in Archives of Biological Sciences
Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo i dr.., 62(4), 1021-1025.
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS1004021M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_11886
Milenković M, Ducić V, Milovanović B. The influence of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz on outbreaks of gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) in Serbia. in Archives of Biological Sciences. 2010;62(4):1021-1025.
doi:10.2298/ABS1004021M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_11886 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Milovanović, Boško, "The influence of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz on outbreaks of gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) in Serbia" in Archives of Biological Sciences, 62, no. 4 (2010):1021-1025,
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS1004021M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_11886 .
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Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara

Ducić, Vladan; Milenković, Milan; Radovanović, Milan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', 2008)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
PY  - 2008
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12539
AB  - Considering the actual scenario of contemporary global climate changes and their possible influence on forest fires, the connections between temperature changes and precipitations on fires have been examined in Deliblatska pescara. The basic characteristics of fires have been analyzed in the area which is considered the most endangered in Serbia. The decreasing trend of annual number of fires was ascertained for period the 1948-2002. However, the trend of annual temperature and precipitation changes is not in accordance with the trend of annual number of fires. Some seasonal aspects related with the change of climate elements cannot also explain the decreasing number of fires. A rising trend of annual fire spread surface have been ascertained, which is in accordance with air temperature rise at the end of the 20th century. However, five extreme values were far above the upper standard deviation, which was explained by non climate factors (increase of surface under pine trees, mistakes during fire extinguishing and similar).
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić'
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara
SP  - 59
EP  - 73
IS  - 58
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12539
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan and Radovanović, Milan",
year = "2008",
abstract = "Considering the actual scenario of contemporary global climate changes and their possible influence on forest fires, the connections between temperature changes and precipitations on fires have been examined in Deliblatska pescara. The basic characteristics of fires have been analyzed in the area which is considered the most endangered in Serbia. The decreasing trend of annual number of fires was ascertained for period the 1948-2002. However, the trend of annual temperature and precipitation changes is not in accordance with the trend of annual number of fires. Some seasonal aspects related with the change of climate elements cannot also explain the decreasing number of fires. A rising trend of annual fire spread surface have been ascertained, which is in accordance with air temperature rise at the end of the 20th century. However, five extreme values were far above the upper standard deviation, which was explained by non climate factors (increase of surface under pine trees, mistakes during fire extinguishing and similar).",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić'",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara",
pages = "59-73",
number = "58",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12539"
}
Ducić, V., Milenković, M.,& Radovanović, M.. (2008). Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić'.(58), 59-73.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12539
Ducić V, Milenković M, Radovanović M. Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2008;(58):59-73.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12539 .
Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, Radovanović, Milan, "Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, no. 58 (2008):59-73,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12539 .