TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milanović, Slobodan
AU  - Mihailović, Dragutin T.
AU  - Lakićević, Milena
AU  - Đurđević, Vladimir
AU  - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica
AU  - Milanović, Sladjan D.
AU  - Trailović, Zoran
PY  - 2023
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/14583
AB  - The impact of climate change on insect pests is an emerging topic in forestry and forest science. This study investigates the relationships between two broadleaved forest pests – spongy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) and brown-tail moth (Euproctis chrysorrhoea L.) – and oaks (Quercus sp.) as their hosts. Oak forests cover almost one-third of the total forest area of Serbia and are ecologically very valuable, but at the same time vulnerable, as being affected in adverse ways by several primary pests and pathogens. Since 1862, Serbia experienced several extremely large outbreaks of spongy moth with more than a hundred thousand hectares completely defoliated each time, 
while brown-tail moth occurred periodically with a much lower spatial extent. The aim of this research was to investigate the effect of UV radiation (UVR) and air temperature on spongy moth and brown-tail moth in Serbian forests. We used simulations of the coupled regional climate model EBU-POM (Eta Belgrade University-Princeton Ocean Model) for the A1B scenario for the period 2001-2030 as main input and different statistical methods to explore relationships between observations of pest spread and climate change impacts. Our results suggest (i) increasing the areas affected by spongy moth due to its sensitivity on UVR in May, and (ii) altitudinal spreading of brown-tail moth population up to 800 – 1000 m. This research indicates that in situ forest observations in Serbia are not only affected by climate change, but also by the combined effect of climate on forest pests. For further research, we recommend exploring other forest stressors or dieback phenomena in European forests by applying the same or similar regional climate model dataset.
PB  - Vienna : University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences
PB  - Vienna : Austrian Research Centre for Forests
T2  - Austrian Journal of Forest Science
T1  - Impact of UV radiation and temperature on the spongy moth and the brown-tail moth in Serbia
T1  - Auswirkungen von UV-Strahlung und Temperatur auf den Schwammspinner und den Goldafter in Serbien
VL  - 140
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.53203/fs.2301.1
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_14583
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milanović, Slobodan and Mihailović, Dragutin T. and Lakićević, Milena and Đurđević, Vladimir and Malinović-Milićević, Slavica and Milanović, Sladjan D. and Trailović, Zoran",
year = "2023",
abstract = "The impact of climate change on insect pests is an emerging topic in forestry and forest science. This study investigates the relationships between two broadleaved forest pests – spongy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) and brown-tail moth (Euproctis chrysorrhoea L.) – and oaks (Quercus sp.) as their hosts. Oak forests cover almost one-third of the total forest area of Serbia and are ecologically very valuable, but at the same time vulnerable, as being affected in adverse ways by several primary pests and pathogens. Since 1862, Serbia experienced several extremely large outbreaks of spongy moth with more than a hundred thousand hectares completely defoliated each time, 
while brown-tail moth occurred periodically with a much lower spatial extent. The aim of this research was to investigate the effect of UV radiation (UVR) and air temperature on spongy moth and brown-tail moth in Serbian forests. We used simulations of the coupled regional climate model EBU-POM (Eta Belgrade University-Princeton Ocean Model) for the A1B scenario for the period 2001-2030 as main input and different statistical methods to explore relationships between observations of pest spread and climate change impacts. Our results suggest (i) increasing the areas affected by spongy moth due to its sensitivity on UVR in May, and (ii) altitudinal spreading of brown-tail moth population up to 800 – 1000 m. This research indicates that in situ forest observations in Serbia are not only affected by climate change, but also by the combined effect of climate on forest pests. For further research, we recommend exploring other forest stressors or dieback phenomena in European forests by applying the same or similar regional climate model dataset.",
publisher = "Vienna : University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna : Austrian Research Centre for Forests",
journal = "Austrian Journal of Forest Science",
title = "Impact of UV radiation and temperature on the spongy moth and the brown-tail moth in Serbia, Auswirkungen von UV-Strahlung und Temperatur auf den Schwammspinner und den Goldafter in Serbien",
volume = "140",
number = "1",
doi = "10.53203/fs.2301.1",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_14583"
}

Milanović, S., Mihailović, D. T., Lakićević, M., Đurđević, V., Malinović-Milićević, S., Milanović, S. D.,& Trailović, Z.. (2023). Impact of UV radiation and temperature on the spongy moth and the brown-tail moth in Serbia. in Austrian Journal of Forest Science
Vienna : University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences., 140(1).
https://doi.org/10.53203/fs.2301.1
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_14583

Milanović S, Mihailović DT, Lakićević M, Đurđević V, Malinović-Milićević S, Milanović SD, Trailović Z. Impact of UV radiation and temperature on the spongy moth and the brown-tail moth in Serbia. in Austrian Journal of Forest Science. 2023;140(1).
doi:10.53203/fs.2301.1
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_14583 .

Milanović, Slobodan, Mihailović, Dragutin T., Lakićević, Milena, Đurđević, Vladimir, Malinović-Milićević, Slavica, Milanović, Sladjan D., Trailović, Zoran, "Impact of UV radiation and temperature on the spongy moth and the brown-tail moth in Serbia" in Austrian Journal of Forest Science, 140, no. 1 (2023),
https://doi.org/10.53203/fs.2301.1 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_14583 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica B.
AU  - Mihailović, Dragutin T.
AU  - Drešković, Nusret M.
AU  - Đurđević, Vladimir S.
AU  - Mimić, Gordan I.
AU  - Arsenić, Ilija D.
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/13851
AB  - In this article we considered the extreme temperatures, precipitation and UV-B radiation in Vojvodina region, Serbia. We describe the actual climate conditions for  the period 1981-2007 and applied a dynamic downscaling technique using the EBU-POM regional coupled climate model under the SRES-A2 scenario to assess the changes for the period 2021-2100. The results indicate that a warmer and drier climate in the Vojvodina region can be expected at the end of the century. Projection of climate indicates to a strong increase in the mean annual minimum temperatures, and much smaller increase in the mean annual maximum temperatures. The increase of both extreme temperatures is predicted to be the highest in the winter and the lowest in the summer. Mean annual precipitation is projected to increase toward the end of the first half of the 21st century and to decrease for the last 30 years of the 21st century. Precipitation amount will be the highest during the winter and spring. The model simulations show that, by the end of this century, annual mean UV-B dose will recover by 5.2%. Recovery will be faster in the first half of the 21st century and more slowly later on. The UV-B doses recovery is expected to be the highest during the autumn and spring.
PB  - Belgrade : Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2
SP  - 289
EP  - 298
VL  - 19
IS  - 2
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI141207031M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Malinović-Milićević, Slavica B. and Mihailović, Dragutin T. and Drešković, Nusret M. and Đurđević, Vladimir S. and Mimić, Gordan I. and Arsenić, Ilija D.",
year = "2015",
abstract = "In this article we considered the extreme temperatures, precipitation and UV-B radiation in Vojvodina region, Serbia. We describe the actual climate conditions for  the period 1981-2007 and applied a dynamic downscaling technique using the EBU-POM regional coupled climate model under the SRES-A2 scenario to assess the changes for the period 2021-2100. The results indicate that a warmer and drier climate in the Vojvodina region can be expected at the end of the century. Projection of climate indicates to a strong increase in the mean annual minimum temperatures, and much smaller increase in the mean annual maximum temperatures. The increase of both extreme temperatures is predicted to be the highest in the winter and the lowest in the summer. Mean annual precipitation is projected to increase toward the end of the first half of the 21st century and to decrease for the last 30 years of the 21st century. Precipitation amount will be the highest during the winter and spring. The model simulations show that, by the end of this century, annual mean UV-B dose will recover by 5.2%. Recovery will be faster in the first half of the 21st century and more slowly later on. The UV-B doses recovery is expected to be the highest during the autumn and spring.",
publisher = "Belgrade : Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2",
pages = "289-298",
volume = "19",
number = "2",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI141207031M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851"
}

Malinović-Milićević, S. B., Mihailović, D. T., Drešković, N. M., Đurđević, V. S., Mimić, G. I.,& Arsenić, I. D.. (2015). Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2. in Thermal Science
Belgrade : Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences., 19(2), 289-298.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI141207031M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851

Malinović-Milićević SB, Mihailović DT, Drešković NM, Đurđević VS, Mimić GI, Arsenić ID. Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2. in Thermal Science. 2015;19(2):289-298.
doi:10.2298/TSCI141207031M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851 .

Malinović-Milićević, Slavica B., Mihailović, Dragutin T., Drešković, Nusret M., Đurđević, Vladimir S., Mimić, Gordan I., Arsenić, Ilija D., "Climate change effects and UV-B radiation in the Vojvodina region, Serbia under the SRES-A2" in Thermal Science, 19, no. 2 (2015):289-298,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI141207031M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13851 .