TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12588
AB  - Recently Montenegro has often been faced with extreme weather events. The aim of this paper is to provide a detailed synoptic analysis of a severe weather event, a waterspout, and to confirm an indication that in most cases such events could potentially be forecasted, which is of great practical significance, since human lives and property can be saved. The paper presents the research results of synoptic and mesoscale weather conditions which created a favourable meteorological environment for a waterspout development in Tivat (Montenegrin coast) on June 9, 2018, around 01 UTC (03 CET). Based on field survey analysis, the rating of tornado intensity by the Fujita scale (F-scale) has been done by assessing the damage. The synoptic type for this situation was CLOSED-SW and was determined by a detailed examination of atmospheric circulation. The results presented in the manuscript can help decision makers in Montenegro to take certain adaptation measures (above all, in tourism and construction) in order to mitigate the negative consequences of weather extremes.
PB  - Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw
T2  - Geographia Polonica
T1  - Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018
SP  - 69
EP  - 90
VL  - 94
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.7163/GPol.0194
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12588
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan",
year = "2021",
abstract = "Recently Montenegro has often been faced with extreme weather events. The aim of this paper is to provide a detailed synoptic analysis of a severe weather event, a waterspout, and to confirm an indication that in most cases such events could potentially be forecasted, which is of great practical significance, since human lives and property can be saved. The paper presents the research results of synoptic and mesoscale weather conditions which created a favourable meteorological environment for a waterspout development in Tivat (Montenegrin coast) on June 9, 2018, around 01 UTC (03 CET). Based on field survey analysis, the rating of tornado intensity by the Fujita scale (F-scale) has been done by assessing the damage. The synoptic type for this situation was CLOSED-SW and was determined by a detailed examination of atmospheric circulation. The results presented in the manuscript can help decision makers in Montenegro to take certain adaptation measures (above all, in tourism and construction) in order to mitigate the negative consequences of weather extremes.",
publisher = "Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw",
journal = "Geographia Polonica",
title = "Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018",
pages = "69-90",
volume = "94",
number = "1",
doi = "10.7163/GPol.0194",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12588"
}

Mihajlović, J., Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Milenković, M.. (2021). Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018. in Geographia Polonica
Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw., 94(1), 69-90.
https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.0194
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12588

Mihajlović J, Burić D, Ducić V, Milenković M. Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018. in Geographia Polonica. 2021;94(1):69-90.
doi:10.7163/GPol.0194
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12588 .

Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, "Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018" in Geographia Polonica, 94, no. 1 (2021):69-90,
https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.0194 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12588 .

TY  - CONF
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Micić, Jasna
AU  - Denda, Stefan
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/9089
AB  - Forest fires represent a serious threat to the tourism industry. In Europe, Portugal is most vulnerable to fire, followed by the Mediterranean countries. In the period 1980-2018, an average of 18,025 fires was recorded in Portugal, while the average annual burned area was 116,894 ha. The trend of the number of fires is increasing (statistically significant at p≤0.01). During 2017, fires affected 540,630 ha in Portugal, accounting for about 5.9% of the state territory. Statistically significant (p≤0.01) downward trends were found for Spain (burned areas), France (burned
areas), and Italy (both parameters). The downward trends identified for Greece were not statistically significant. Natural conditions conducive to the occurrence and spread of fires in the Mediterranean area are dry periods during the summer, dry land without watercourses, and vegetation that is extremely vulnerable to fire. In these countries, the major tourist and fire seasons almost coincide. Forest fires endanger human lives, as well as tourism infrastructure and superstructure, and contribute to creating a negative public image of a tourist destination. Future research should pay attention to improving the prognosis of forest fires.
PB  - Stavropol : Stavropol State Agrarian University, Faculty of Social and Cultural Service and Tourism
C3  - Book of proceedings of VIII International scientific-practical conference "Inovative aspects of the development service and tourism"
T1  - Tourism and Forest Fires: Problems, Challenges and Possibilities
SP  - 89
EP  - 94
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_9089
ER  - 

@conference{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Micić, Jasna and Denda, Stefan",
year = "2020",
abstract = "Forest fires represent a serious threat to the tourism industry. In Europe, Portugal is most vulnerable to fire, followed by the Mediterranean countries. In the period 1980-2018, an average of 18,025 fires was recorded in Portugal, while the average annual burned area was 116,894 ha. The trend of the number of fires is increasing (statistically significant at p≤0.01). During 2017, fires affected 540,630 ha in Portugal, accounting for about 5.9% of the state territory. Statistically significant (p≤0.01) downward trends were found for Spain (burned areas), France (burned
areas), and Italy (both parameters). The downward trends identified for Greece were not statistically significant. Natural conditions conducive to the occurrence and spread of fires in the Mediterranean area are dry periods during the summer, dry land without watercourses, and vegetation that is extremely vulnerable to fire. In these countries, the major tourist and fire seasons almost coincide. Forest fires endanger human lives, as well as tourism infrastructure and superstructure, and contribute to creating a negative public image of a tourist destination. Future research should pay attention to improving the prognosis of forest fires.",
publisher = "Stavropol : Stavropol State Agrarian University, Faculty of Social and Cultural Service and Tourism",
journal = "Book of proceedings of VIII International scientific-practical conference "Inovative aspects of the development service and tourism"",
title = "Tourism and Forest Fires: Problems, Challenges and Possibilities",
pages = "89-94",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_9089"
}

Milenković, M., Micić, J.,& Denda, S.. (2020). Tourism and Forest Fires: Problems, Challenges and Possibilities. in Book of proceedings of VIII International scientific-practical conference "Inovative aspects of the development service and tourism"
Stavropol : Stavropol State Agrarian University, Faculty of Social and Cultural Service and Tourism., 89-94.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_9089

Milenković M, Micić J, Denda S. Tourism and Forest Fires: Problems, Challenges and Possibilities. in Book of proceedings of VIII International scientific-practical conference "Inovative aspects of the development service and tourism". 2020;:89-94.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_9089 .

Milenković, Milan, Micić, Jasna, Denda, Stefan, "Tourism and Forest Fires: Problems, Challenges and Possibilities" in Book of proceedings of VIII International scientific-practical conference "Inovative aspects of the development service and tourism" (2020):89-94,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_9089 .

TY  - CONF
AU  - Denda, Stefan
AU  - Micić, Jasna
AU  - Milenković, Milan
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/9088
AB  - Tourism sustainability is a ubiquitous topic of scientific circles. To this day, there is controversy about the environmental, economic and socio-cultural sustainability of this global industry. Although selective forms are increasingly being promoted, mass tourism is still dominant, with many consequences. Its impacts are especially visible in small and sensitive areas, with many visitors and associated infrastructure (uncontrolled urbanization). Therefore, this paper aims to point out the sustainability of its development in the area of the mountain center Zlatibor in
southwestern Serbia. As one of the most visited destinations after the capital of Belgrade and Vrnjačka Banja Spa, in the last two decades have been under increasing pressure that exceeds its capacity. The European Union methodology for comparative indicators of sustainable tourism was used. The survey was supplemented by an analysis of official statistics. The obtained results highlighted numerous problems in terms of environmental sustainability (red zone), while a
significantly better situation was observed in terms of a social and economic system. In this way, this research can be a starting point for key tourism policymakers and future development directions.
PB  - Stavropol : Stavropol State Agrarian University, Faculty of Social and Cultural Service and Tourism
C3  - Book of proceedings of VIII International scientific-practical conference "Inovative aspects of the development service and tourism"
T1  - Sustainability from the Local Perspective: The Evidence from Zlatibor Tourist Center (Republic of Serbia)
SP  - 34
EP  - 41
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_9088
ER  - 

@conference{
author = "Denda, Stefan and Micić, Jasna and Milenković, Milan",
year = "2020",
abstract = "Tourism sustainability is a ubiquitous topic of scientific circles. To this day, there is controversy about the environmental, economic and socio-cultural sustainability of this global industry. Although selective forms are increasingly being promoted, mass tourism is still dominant, with many consequences. Its impacts are especially visible in small and sensitive areas, with many visitors and associated infrastructure (uncontrolled urbanization). Therefore, this paper aims to point out the sustainability of its development in the area of the mountain center Zlatibor in
southwestern Serbia. As one of the most visited destinations after the capital of Belgrade and Vrnjačka Banja Spa, in the last two decades have been under increasing pressure that exceeds its capacity. The European Union methodology for comparative indicators of sustainable tourism was used. The survey was supplemented by an analysis of official statistics. The obtained results highlighted numerous problems in terms of environmental sustainability (red zone), while a
significantly better situation was observed in terms of a social and economic system. In this way, this research can be a starting point for key tourism policymakers and future development directions.",
publisher = "Stavropol : Stavropol State Agrarian University, Faculty of Social and Cultural Service and Tourism",
journal = "Book of proceedings of VIII International scientific-practical conference "Inovative aspects of the development service and tourism"",
title = "Sustainability from the Local Perspective: The Evidence from Zlatibor Tourist Center (Republic of Serbia)",
pages = "34-41",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_9088"
}

Denda, S., Micić, J.,& Milenković, M.. (2020). Sustainability from the Local Perspective: The Evidence from Zlatibor Tourist Center (Republic of Serbia). in Book of proceedings of VIII International scientific-practical conference "Inovative aspects of the development service and tourism"
Stavropol : Stavropol State Agrarian University, Faculty of Social and Cultural Service and Tourism., 34-41.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_9088

Denda S, Micić J, Milenković M. Sustainability from the Local Perspective: The Evidence from Zlatibor Tourist Center (Republic of Serbia). in Book of proceedings of VIII International scientific-practical conference "Inovative aspects of the development service and tourism". 2020;:34-41.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_9088 .

Denda, Stefan, Micić, Jasna, Milenković, Milan, "Sustainability from the Local Perspective: The Evidence from Zlatibor Tourist Center (Republic of Serbia)" in Book of proceedings of VIII International scientific-practical conference "Inovative aspects of the development service and tourism" (2020):34-41,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_9088 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Vyklyuk, Yaroslav
AU  - Radovanović, Milan M.
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Petrović, Marko
AU  - Doljak, Dejan
AU  - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica
AU  - Vuković, Natalia
AU  - Vujko, Aleksandra
AU  - Matsiuk, Nataliia
AU  - Mukherjee, Saumitra
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/13408
AB  - This research is devoted to the determination of the causal relationship between the flow of particles that are coming from the Sun and the hurricanes Irma, Jose, and Katia. To accomplish this, the lag correlation analysis was performed. High correlation coefficients confirmed a preliminary conclusion about the relationship between solar activities and the hurricane phenomenon, which allows further research. Five parameters i.e. characteristics of solar activity (10.7 cm solar radio flux (F10.7), the flows of protons and electrons with maximum energy, speed and density of solar wind particles) were chosen as model input, while the wind speed and air pressure of Irma, Jose, and Katia hurricanes were used as model output. Input data were sampled to a six hours interval in order to adapt the time interval to the observed data about hurricanes, in the period between September 28 and December 21, 2017. As a result of the preliminary analysis, using 12,274,264 linear models by parallel calculations, six of them were chosen as best. The identified lags were the basis for refinement of models with the artificial neural networks. Multilayer perceptrons with back propagation and recurrent LSTM have been chosen as commonly used artificial neural networks. Comparison of the accuracy of both linear and artificial neural networks results confirmed the adequacy of these models and made it possible to take into account the dynamics of the solar wind. Sensitivity analysis has shown that F10.7 has the greatest impact on the wind speed of the hurricanes. Despite low sensitivity of pressure to change the parameters of the solar wind, their strong fluctuations can cause a sharp decrease in pressure, and therefore the appearance of hurricanes.
PB  - Switzerland : Springer Nature
T2  - Astrophysics and Space Science
T1  - Space weather and hurricanes Irma, Jose and Katia
VL  - 364
IS  - 154
DO  - 10.1007/s10509-019-3646-5
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13408
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Vyklyuk, Yaroslav and Radovanović, Milan M. and Milovanović, Boško and Milenković, Milan and Petrović, Marko and Doljak, Dejan and Malinović-Milićević, Slavica and Vuković, Natalia and Vujko, Aleksandra and Matsiuk, Nataliia and Mukherjee, Saumitra",
year = "2019",
abstract = "This research is devoted to the determination of the causal relationship between the flow of particles that are coming from the Sun and the hurricanes Irma, Jose, and Katia. To accomplish this, the lag correlation analysis was performed. High correlation coefficients confirmed a preliminary conclusion about the relationship between solar activities and the hurricane phenomenon, which allows further research. Five parameters i.e. characteristics of solar activity (10.7 cm solar radio flux (F10.7), the flows of protons and electrons with maximum energy, speed and density of solar wind particles) were chosen as model input, while the wind speed and air pressure of Irma, Jose, and Katia hurricanes were used as model output. Input data were sampled to a six hours interval in order to adapt the time interval to the observed data about hurricanes, in the period between September 28 and December 21, 2017. As a result of the preliminary analysis, using 12,274,264 linear models by parallel calculations, six of them were chosen as best. The identified lags were the basis for refinement of models with the artificial neural networks. Multilayer perceptrons with back propagation and recurrent LSTM have been chosen as commonly used artificial neural networks. Comparison of the accuracy of both linear and artificial neural networks results confirmed the adequacy of these models and made it possible to take into account the dynamics of the solar wind. Sensitivity analysis has shown that F10.7 has the greatest impact on the wind speed of the hurricanes. Despite low sensitivity of pressure to change the parameters of the solar wind, their strong fluctuations can cause a sharp decrease in pressure, and therefore the appearance of hurricanes.",
publisher = "Switzerland : Springer Nature",
journal = "Astrophysics and Space Science",
title = "Space weather and hurricanes Irma, Jose and Katia",
volume = "364",
number = "154",
doi = "10.1007/s10509-019-3646-5",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13408"
}

Vyklyuk, Y., Radovanović, M. M., Milovanović, B., Milenković, M., Petrović, M., Doljak, D., Malinović-Milićević, S., Vuković, N., Vujko, A., Matsiuk, N.,& Mukherjee, S.. (2019). Space weather and hurricanes Irma, Jose and Katia. in Astrophysics and Space Science
Switzerland : Springer Nature., 364(154).
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10509-019-3646-5
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13408

Vyklyuk Y, Radovanović MM, Milovanović B, Milenković M, Petrović M, Doljak D, Malinović-Milićević S, Vuković N, Vujko A, Matsiuk N, Mukherjee S. Space weather and hurricanes Irma, Jose and Katia. in Astrophysics and Space Science. 2019;364(154).
doi:10.1007/s10509-019-3646-5
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13408 .

Vyklyuk, Yaroslav, Radovanović, Milan M., Milovanović, Boško, Milenković, Milan, Petrović, Marko, Doljak, Dejan, Malinović-Milićević, Slavica, Vuković, Natalia, Vujko, Aleksandra, Matsiuk, Nataliia, Mukherjee, Saumitra, "Space weather and hurricanes Irma, Jose and Katia" in Astrophysics and Space Science, 364, no. 154 (2019),
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10509-019-3646-5 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_13408 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12582
AB  - In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations
SP  - 75
EP  - 82
VL  - 69
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1901075M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Babić, Violeta",
year = "2019",
abstract = "In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations",
pages = "75-82",
volume = "69",
number = "1",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1901075M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582"
}

Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Burić, D.,& Babić, V.. (2019). Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 69(1), 75-82.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582

Milenković M, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Burić D, Babić V. Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2019;69(1):75-82.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1901075M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582 .

Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Babić, Violeta, "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 69, no. 1 (2019):75-82,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12584
AB  - Danilovgrad and the Bjelopavlića Plain belong to the submediterranean zone of the Mediterranean climate region. The aim of this paper was to determine some specific characteristics of the Danilovgrad climate, such as the degree of continentality, aridity and bioclimatic characteristics. Data used in the research cover the period 1955-2011. The results of the study showed the dominance of the continental effect on temperature, while oceanicity was less pronounced. In hygric terms, during most of the year the climate of Danilovgrad is characterized as low humid to perhumid. Moreover, in the period October-March it is very humid, which points to the domination of oceanic influences. During the three summer months, it is dry to very dry. Based on the average monthly values of the equivalent temperature - an indicator of physiological (subjective) feeling of heat, the winter months in Danilovgrad are not assessed as very cold. It is cold in January, and in February and December it is cool. It is fresh in March and November, comfortable in April and October, and warm in May and September. In Danilovgrad, in summer it is overheated and a little muggy. All considered indicators point to quite pronounced oscillations during the year, especially in terms of humidity. Comparing the obtained results with Podgorica, it can be concluded that the climate of Danilovgrad is more continental, a bit colder and wetter.
AB  - Danilovgrad je centralno i najveće naselje na području Bjelopavlićke ravnice u Crnoj Gori. Sa klimatskog aspekta, područje Bjelopavlićke ravnice je pogodno za život i razvoj poljoprivrede. Međutim, u do sada poznatim klasifikacijama klime za Crnu Goru, dat je uopšteni opis pojedinih regija i mesta, uglavnom na osnovu analize srednjih mesečnih temperatura vazduha i količine padavina. Za Danilovgrad se može reći da ima blago modifikovnu mediteransku klimu, a to znači da su leta topla i prilično sušna, a zime blage i kišovite. Prema Kepenovoj klasifikaciji, klimatska formula Danilovgrada je Csa, prosečna godišnja temperatura je 14,60C, a godišnja suma padavina 2.216 mm. Cilj nam je bio da klimu ovog mesta što bolje i podrobnije opišemo, kroz analizu termičke kontinentalnosti, aridnosti i bioklimatske karakteristike. Analizom kombinovanih klimatskih elemenata, dat je kompleksniji prikaz i kvalitetnija karakterizacija klime Danilovgrada. Smatramo da će istraživanje imati značaja za lokalnu zajednicu u smislu boljeg razumevanja prirodnog okruženja i da se dobijeni rezultati mogu primeniti u poljoprivredi, vodoprivredi i energetici, turizmu i drugim delatnostima od važnosti za budući razvoj Danilovgrada i Crne Gore. Takođe, rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu biće korisni nauci, struci i opštem obrazovanju stanovništva, jer se radi o tematici koja sve više participira kod današnjeg čoveka. Za razmatranje specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada, korišćeni su podaci za instrumentalni period 1955-2011. Rezultati istraživanja su pokazali dominaciju kontinentalnog uticaja na temperaturu, dok je maritimnost slabije izražena. U higričkom smislu, tokom većeg dela godine klima Danilovgrada se karakteriše kao slabo humidna do perhumidna. Štaviše, u periodu oktobar - mart je veoma vlažno, što govori o dominaciji maritimnih upliva. Sušno do veoma sušno je tokom tri letnja meseca. Prema bioklimatskim pokazateljima, ni jedan mesec se ne karakteriše kao veoma hladan. Na osnovu srednjih mesečnih vrednosti ekvivalentne temperature, koja je korišćena kao pokazatelj fiziološkog (subjektivnog) osećaja toplote, tokom januara je hladno, a u februaru i decembru veoma prohladno. Sveže je u martu i novembru, ugodno u aprilu i oktobru, a toplo u maju i septembru. U Danilovgradu je leti pregrejano i malo zaparno. Svi razmatrani pokazatelji ukazuju na prilično izražene oscilacije tokom godine, naročito u pogledu vlažnosti. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da Danilovgrad ima slične termičke, higričke i bioklimatske karakteristike kao Podgorica (Burić et al., 2007), jer je rastojanje između ova dva grada oko 20 km. Ipak, Danilovgrad je više kontinentalniji, malo hladniji i vlažniji od Podgorice.
PB  - Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)
T1  - Specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada (Crna Gora)
SP  - 19
EP  - 28
VL  - 99
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1901019B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12584
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Danilovgrad and the Bjelopavlića Plain belong to the submediterranean zone of the Mediterranean climate region. The aim of this paper was to determine some specific characteristics of the Danilovgrad climate, such as the degree of continentality, aridity and bioclimatic characteristics. Data used in the research cover the period 1955-2011. The results of the study showed the dominance of the continental effect on temperature, while oceanicity was less pronounced. In hygric terms, during most of the year the climate of Danilovgrad is characterized as low humid to perhumid. Moreover, in the period October-March it is very humid, which points to the domination of oceanic influences. During the three summer months, it is dry to very dry. Based on the average monthly values of the equivalent temperature - an indicator of physiological (subjective) feeling of heat, the winter months in Danilovgrad are not assessed as very cold. It is cold in January, and in February and December it is cool. It is fresh in March and November, comfortable in April and October, and warm in May and September. In Danilovgrad, in summer it is overheated and a little muggy. All considered indicators point to quite pronounced oscillations during the year, especially in terms of humidity. Comparing the obtained results with Podgorica, it can be concluded that the climate of Danilovgrad is more continental, a bit colder and wetter., Danilovgrad je centralno i najveće naselje na području Bjelopavlićke ravnice u Crnoj Gori. Sa klimatskog aspekta, područje Bjelopavlićke ravnice je pogodno za život i razvoj poljoprivrede. Međutim, u do sada poznatim klasifikacijama klime za Crnu Goru, dat je uopšteni opis pojedinih regija i mesta, uglavnom na osnovu analize srednjih mesečnih temperatura vazduha i količine padavina. Za Danilovgrad se može reći da ima blago modifikovnu mediteransku klimu, a to znači da su leta topla i prilično sušna, a zime blage i kišovite. Prema Kepenovoj klasifikaciji, klimatska formula Danilovgrada je Csa, prosečna godišnja temperatura je 14,60C, a godišnja suma padavina 2.216 mm. Cilj nam je bio da klimu ovog mesta što bolje i podrobnije opišemo, kroz analizu termičke kontinentalnosti, aridnosti i bioklimatske karakteristike. Analizom kombinovanih klimatskih elemenata, dat je kompleksniji prikaz i kvalitetnija karakterizacija klime Danilovgrada. Smatramo da će istraživanje imati značaja za lokalnu zajednicu u smislu boljeg razumevanja prirodnog okruženja i da se dobijeni rezultati mogu primeniti u poljoprivredi, vodoprivredi i energetici, turizmu i drugim delatnostima od važnosti za budući razvoj Danilovgrada i Crne Gore. Takođe, rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu biće korisni nauci, struci i opštem obrazovanju stanovništva, jer se radi o tematici koja sve više participira kod današnjeg čoveka. Za razmatranje specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada, korišćeni su podaci za instrumentalni period 1955-2011. Rezultati istraživanja su pokazali dominaciju kontinentalnog uticaja na temperaturu, dok je maritimnost slabije izražena. U higričkom smislu, tokom većeg dela godine klima Danilovgrada se karakteriše kao slabo humidna do perhumidna. Štaviše, u periodu oktobar - mart je veoma vlažno, što govori o dominaciji maritimnih upliva. Sušno do veoma sušno je tokom tri letnja meseca. Prema bioklimatskim pokazateljima, ni jedan mesec se ne karakteriše kao veoma hladan. Na osnovu srednjih mesečnih vrednosti ekvivalentne temperature, koja je korišćena kao pokazatelj fiziološkog (subjektivnog) osećaja toplote, tokom januara je hladno, a u februaru i decembru veoma prohladno. Sveže je u martu i novembru, ugodno u aprilu i oktobru, a toplo u maju i septembru. U Danilovgradu je leti pregrejano i malo zaparno. Svi razmatrani pokazatelji ukazuju na prilično izražene oscilacije tokom godine, naročito u pogledu vlažnosti. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da Danilovgrad ima slične termičke, higričke i bioklimatske karakteristike kao Podgorica (Burić et al., 2007), jer je rastojanje između ova dva grada oko 20 km. Ipak, Danilovgrad je više kontinentalniji, malo hladniji i vlažniji od Podgorice.",
publisher = "Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro), Specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada (Crna Gora)",
pages = "19-28",
volume = "99",
number = "1",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1901019B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12584"
}

Burić, D., Milenković, M.,& Ducić, V.. (2019). The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro). in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd., 99(1), 19-28.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1901019B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12584

Burić D, Milenković M, Ducić V. The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro). in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2019;99(1):19-28.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1901019B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12584 .

Burić, Dragan, Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, "The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 99, no. 1 (2019):19-28,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1901019B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12584 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Yamashkin, Anatoly A.
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
AU  - Govedar, Zoran
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12576
AB  - The data on forest fires in Portugal in the period 1980-2015 were used in the research: the annual number of forest fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire. Increasing trend of the annual number of forest fires (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01), nonsignificant increasing trend of the annual burned area and decreasing trend of the average burned area per fire (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01) were recorded. Portugal is the most endangered country by forest fires in comparison with the other European countries. During the research period, fires in Portugal covered 23.6% of the total burned area in five the most affected European countries (Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece). In the research of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of the AMO index were used in calculations. All R values recorded for the annual number of fires were positive and statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01. The highest values were recorded for August (0.543) and for summer (0.525). With the annual burned area all R values were also positive and the highest one on the seasonal level was for summer (0.359). With the average burned area per fire all R values were negative (-0.428 was recorded for winter). The results of the research could be applied in the fire danger forecast for periods of several months. Other climate indices should also be considered in future research.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)
SP  - 27
EP  - 35
VL  - 67
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1701027M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12576
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Yamashkin, Anatoly A. and Ducić, Vladan and Babić, Violeta and Govedar, Zoran",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The data on forest fires in Portugal in the period 1980-2015 were used in the research: the annual number of forest fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire. Increasing trend of the annual number of forest fires (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01), nonsignificant increasing trend of the annual burned area and decreasing trend of the average burned area per fire (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01) were recorded. Portugal is the most endangered country by forest fires in comparison with the other European countries. During the research period, fires in Portugal covered 23.6% of the total burned area in five the most affected European countries (Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece). In the research of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of the AMO index were used in calculations. All R values recorded for the annual number of fires were positive and statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01. The highest values were recorded for August (0.543) and for summer (0.525). With the annual burned area all R values were also positive and the highest one on the seasonal level was for summer (0.359). With the average burned area per fire all R values were negative (-0.428 was recorded for winter). The results of the research could be applied in the fire danger forecast for periods of several months. Other climate indices should also be considered in future research.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)",
pages = "27-35",
volume = "67",
number = "1",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1701027M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12576"
}

Milenković, M., Yamashkin, A. A., Ducić, V., Babić, V.,& Govedar, Z.. (2017). Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 67(1), 27-35.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1701027M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12576

Milenković M, Yamashkin AA, Ducić V, Babić V, Govedar Z. Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2017;67(1):27-35.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1701027M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12576 .

Milenković, Milan, Yamashkin, Anatoly A., Ducić, Vladan, Babić, Violeta, Govedar, Zoran, "Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 67, no. 1 (2017):27-35,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1701027M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12576 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Savić, Dragan
AU  - Walker, David
AU  - Dedić, Aleksandar
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12574
AB  - The data on the water temperature of the Sava in Serbia (hydrological stations Sabac and Belgrade, period 1961-2015) were used for the research, as well as the data on the surface air temperature. The temperature trends were determined and the significance (at p  lt = 0.05 and p  lt = 0.01) was established on the basis of the t-test. The Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used for the calculation of the correlation. Increasing trends of the water temperature of the Sava were recorded in all cases at both stations. However, in the case of the HS Sabac, the trends for 6 months (February-April and September-November) were not statistically significant. In the case of the HS Belgrade, all the calculations (except for April) showed statistically significant increasing trends, which can be explained by anthropogenic influence. High level of correlation between the surface air temperature and the water temperature was also determined. In this research, the lowest values of R were recorded for October (0.561 for Belgrade), and on the seasonal level, for autumn (0.625 for Sabac). The research on the correlation between the water temperature of the Sava River and the NAO index showed the highest values of R for January (0.512 for HS Sabac and 0.528 for HS Belgrade). On the seasonal level, the highest values were recorded for winter (0.422 for HS Sabac and 0.432 for HS Belgrade).
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia
SP  - 135
EP  - 144
VL  - 67
IS  - 2
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1702135M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12574
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Savić, Dragan and Walker, David and Dedić, Aleksandar and Ducić, Vladan",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The data on the water temperature of the Sava in Serbia (hydrological stations Sabac and Belgrade, period 1961-2015) were used for the research, as well as the data on the surface air temperature. The temperature trends were determined and the significance (at p  lt = 0.05 and p  lt = 0.01) was established on the basis of the t-test. The Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used for the calculation of the correlation. Increasing trends of the water temperature of the Sava were recorded in all cases at both stations. However, in the case of the HS Sabac, the trends for 6 months (February-April and September-November) were not statistically significant. In the case of the HS Belgrade, all the calculations (except for April) showed statistically significant increasing trends, which can be explained by anthropogenic influence. High level of correlation between the surface air temperature and the water temperature was also determined. In this research, the lowest values of R were recorded for October (0.561 for Belgrade), and on the seasonal level, for autumn (0.625 for Sabac). The research on the correlation between the water temperature of the Sava River and the NAO index showed the highest values of R for January (0.512 for HS Sabac and 0.528 for HS Belgrade). On the seasonal level, the highest values were recorded for winter (0.422 for HS Sabac and 0.432 for HS Belgrade).",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia",
pages = "135-144",
volume = "67",
number = "2",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1702135M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12574"
}

Milenković, M., Savić, D., Walker, D., Dedić, A.,& Ducić, V.. (2017). The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 67(2), 135-144.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702135M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12574

Milenković M, Savić D, Walker D, Dedić A, Ducić V. The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2017;67(2):135-144.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1702135M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12574 .

Milenković, Milan, Savić, Dragan, Walker, David, Dedić, Aleksandar, Ducić, Vladan, "The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 67, no. 2 (2017):135-144,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702135M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12574 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Lazić, Bozidar
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12567
AB  - The study examines the connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires (the annual number of fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire) in France in the period 1980-2014. In order to determine the strength of the correlation connection Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of AMO were used in calculations, and one year phase shift was performed (the values for the previous year were used). In burned area the highest values of R on the monthly level were recorded for April (-0.474) and January (-0.470), and on the seasonal level for winter (-0.459) and spring (-0.447). These values are statistically significant at the level of p=0.01. By phase shifting the highest level of correlation was obtained for the autumn (-0.489). In the average burned area per fire on a monthly level the highest value of R was for January (-0.522), and on seasonal for winter (-0.506). By phase shifting the highest value of R was obtained for autumn (-0.522). In the number of fires the highest values were recorded by phase shifting for September (-0.382) and autumn (-0.337). All R values recorded during the study had a negative sign (the correlation is antiphase). In addition, downward trends were determined for all three examined indicators of forest fires in the researched period (1980-2014). Results of the research could be used as a basis for the long-term forecast of the risk of forest fires, and the approach used in the research could be applied for the other areas of the world. However, the more detailed research of the effects of other teleconnections are necessary.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014
SP  - 35
EP  - 44
VL  - 66
IS  - 1
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1601035M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12567
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan and Lazić, Bozidar",
year = "2016",
abstract = "The study examines the connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires (the annual number of fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire) in France in the period 1980-2014. In order to determine the strength of the correlation connection Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of AMO were used in calculations, and one year phase shift was performed (the values for the previous year were used). In burned area the highest values of R on the monthly level were recorded for April (-0.474) and January (-0.470), and on the seasonal level for winter (-0.459) and spring (-0.447). These values are statistically significant at the level of p=0.01. By phase shifting the highest level of correlation was obtained for the autumn (-0.489). In the average burned area per fire on a monthly level the highest value of R was for January (-0.522), and on seasonal for winter (-0.506). By phase shifting the highest value of R was obtained for autumn (-0.522). In the number of fires the highest values were recorded by phase shifting for September (-0.382) and autumn (-0.337). All R values recorded during the study had a negative sign (the correlation is antiphase). In addition, downward trends were determined for all three examined indicators of forest fires in the researched period (1980-2014). Results of the research could be used as a basis for the long-term forecast of the risk of forest fires, and the approach used in the research could be applied for the other areas of the world. However, the more detailed research of the effects of other teleconnections are necessary.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014",
pages = "35-44",
volume = "66",
number = "1",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1601035M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12567"
}

Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Burić, D.,& Lazić, B.. (2016). The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 66(1), 35-44.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601035M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12567

Milenković M, Ducić V, Burić D, Lazić B. The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2016;66(1):35-44.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1601035M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12567 .

Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, Lazić, Bozidar, "The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 66, no. 1 (2016):35-44,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601035M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12567 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Milijašević, Dragana
AU  - Vujačić, Duško M.
AU  - Bjeljac, Željko
AU  - Lović, Suzana L.
AU  - Gajić, Mirjana
AU  - Anđelković, Goran
AU  - Đorđević, Aleksandar
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12563
AB  - The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature (0.039 degrees C per year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February. A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years), and February (49 years). The highest correlations between water temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60), the AMO in autumn (0.52), and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water temperature of the Danube.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)
SP  - S467
EP  - S476
VL  - 19
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI150430133D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan and Milijašević, Dragana and Vujačić, Duško M. and Bjeljac, Željko and Lović, Suzana L. and Gajić, Mirjana and Anđelković, Goran and Đorđević, Aleksandar",
year = "2015",
abstract = "The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature (0.039 degrees C per year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February. A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years), and February (49 years). The highest correlations between water temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60), the AMO in autumn (0.52), and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water temperature of the Danube.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)",
pages = "S467-S476",
volume = "19",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI150430133D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563"
}

Ducić, V., Milenković, M., Milijašević, D., Vujačić, D. M., Bjeljac, Ž., Lović, S. L., Gajić, M., Anđelković, G.,& Đorđević, A.. (2015). Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia). in Thermal Science
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd., 19, S467-S476.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430133D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563

Ducić V, Milenković M, Milijašević D, Vujačić DM, Bjeljac Ž, Lović SL, Gajić M, Anđelković G, Đorđević A. Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia). in Thermal Science. 2015;19:S467-S476.
doi:10.2298/TSCI150430133D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563 .

Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, Milijašević, Dragana, Vujačić, Duško M., Bjeljac, Željko, Lović, Suzana L., Gajić, Mirjana, Anđelković, Goran, Đorđević, Aleksandar, "Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)" in Thermal Science, 19 (2015):S467-S476,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430133D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12563 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milošević, Marko V.
PY  - 2013
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12554
AB  - Purpose - The aim of the paper was to investigate the major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara, as well as to analyze the efficiency of fire protection measures. Design / methodology / approach - The analysis included interviews with participants in extinguishing the major fires. The questions referred to the course of fires, as well as to the main fire protection disadvantages. The documentation of the 'Banat' Forest Management - Pančevo (Public Enterprise 'Vojvodinašume') was also used in the paper for the period 1948-2012. Findings - The major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara in the studied period were recorded in 1973, 1990, 1996 and 2007. Although they account for only about 1.5 % of the total number of fires, they collectively have invaded more than half of the total burnt area and more than two-thirds of the forest area. According to the surveys, the main characteristics of these fires were: frequent appearance of new fire hot spots, strong wind variable in direction which crucially affects the spread of fire and the impossibility of direct action on fire. The main disadvantages of fire protection were: inefficiency of fire breaks, blockage of forest roads for the passage of vehicles and the lack of the modern means of fire protection equipment. Research limitations / implications - Given the specificities of the studied area (the absence of surface water, sandy soils, microclimate conditions and vegetation composition), the research results cannot be fully generalized for Serbia. Practical implications - The research results indicate the need for making changes in the fire prevention system, as well as the possibility of fire danger forecast based on the heliocentric hypothesis. Originality / value - What has been the importance of the paper is that it provides the basis for a new approach to the planning of fire prevention measures.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia)
SP  - 269
EP  - 278
VL  - 63
IS  - 3
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1303269M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12554
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Radovanović, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Milošević, Marko V.",
year = "2013",
abstract = "Purpose - The aim of the paper was to investigate the major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara, as well as to analyze the efficiency of fire protection measures. Design / methodology / approach - The analysis included interviews with participants in extinguishing the major fires. The questions referred to the course of fires, as well as to the main fire protection disadvantages. The documentation of the 'Banat' Forest Management - Pančevo (Public Enterprise 'Vojvodinašume') was also used in the paper for the period 1948-2012. Findings - The major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara in the studied period were recorded in 1973, 1990, 1996 and 2007. Although they account for only about 1.5 % of the total number of fires, they collectively have invaded more than half of the total burnt area and more than two-thirds of the forest area. According to the surveys, the main characteristics of these fires were: frequent appearance of new fire hot spots, strong wind variable in direction which crucially affects the spread of fire and the impossibility of direct action on fire. The main disadvantages of fire protection were: inefficiency of fire breaks, blockage of forest roads for the passage of vehicles and the lack of the modern means of fire protection equipment. Research limitations / implications - Given the specificities of the studied area (the absence of surface water, sandy soils, microclimate conditions and vegetation composition), the research results cannot be fully generalized for Serbia. Practical implications - The research results indicate the need for making changes in the fire prevention system, as well as the possibility of fire danger forecast based on the heliocentric hypothesis. Originality / value - What has been the importance of the paper is that it provides the basis for a new approach to the planning of fire prevention measures.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia)",
pages = "269-278",
volume = "63",
number = "3",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1303269M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12554"
}

Milenković, M., Radovanović, M., Ducić, V.,& Milošević, M. V.. (2013). Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 63(3), 269-278.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1303269M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12554

Milenković M, Radovanović M, Ducić V, Milošević MV. Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2013;63(3):269-278.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1303269M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12554 .

Milenković, Milan, Radovanović, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Milošević, Marko V., "Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia)" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 63, no. 3 (2013):269-278,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1303269M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12554 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
PY  - 2010
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/11886
AB  - The connection between the solar flux at 2.8 GHz (based on mean monthly values) and the outbreaks of gypsy moths (Lymantria dispar L.) in Serbia was investigated. The researches included six outbreaks from 1952 to 2007. The average values of the solar flux ranged between 83.8 and 101.8 sfu during the outbreaks, whereas they were between 147.9 and 188.3 sfu for the periods without outbreaks. The results of the research showed that the increase in the number of gypsy moths appears when the values of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz range from 70 to 120 sfu.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo i dr.
T2  - Archives of Biological Sciences
T1  - The influence of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz on outbreaks of gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) in Serbia
SP  - 1021
EP  - 1025
VL  - 62
IS  - 4
DO  - 10.2298/ABS1004021M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_11886
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Milovanović, Boško",
year = "2010",
abstract = "The connection between the solar flux at 2.8 GHz (based on mean monthly values) and the outbreaks of gypsy moths (Lymantria dispar L.) in Serbia was investigated. The researches included six outbreaks from 1952 to 2007. The average values of the solar flux ranged between 83.8 and 101.8 sfu during the outbreaks, whereas they were between 147.9 and 188.3 sfu for the periods without outbreaks. The results of the research showed that the increase in the number of gypsy moths appears when the values of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz range from 70 to 120 sfu.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo i dr.",
journal = "Archives of Biological Sciences",
title = "The influence of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz on outbreaks of gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) in Serbia",
pages = "1021-1025",
volume = "62",
number = "4",
doi = "10.2298/ABS1004021M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_11886"
}

Milenković, M., Ducić, V.,& Milovanović, B.. (2010). The influence of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz on outbreaks of gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) in Serbia. in Archives of Biological Sciences
Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo i dr.., 62(4), 1021-1025.
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS1004021M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_11886

Milenković M, Ducić V, Milovanović B. The influence of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz on outbreaks of gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) in Serbia. in Archives of Biological Sciences. 2010;62(4):1021-1025.
doi:10.2298/ABS1004021M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_11886 .

Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Milovanović, Boško, "The influence of the solar flux at 2.8 GHz on outbreaks of gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) in Serbia" in Archives of Biological Sciences, 62, no. 4 (2010):1021-1025,
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS1004021M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_11886 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
PY  - 2008
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12539
AB  - Considering the actual scenario of contemporary global climate changes and their possible influence on forest fires, the connections between temperature changes and precipitations on fires have been examined in Deliblatska pescara. The basic characteristics of fires have been analyzed in the area which is considered the most endangered in Serbia. The decreasing trend of annual number of fires was ascertained for period the 1948-2002. However, the trend of annual temperature and precipitation changes is not in accordance with the trend of annual number of fires. Some seasonal aspects related with the change of climate elements cannot also explain the decreasing number of fires. A rising trend of annual fire spread surface have been ascertained, which is in accordance with air temperature rise at the end of the 20th century. However, five extreme values were far above the upper standard deviation, which was explained by non climate factors (increase of surface under pine trees, mistakes during fire extinguishing and similar).
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić'
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara
SP  - 59
EP  - 73
IS  - 58
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12539
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan and Radovanović, Milan",
year = "2008",
abstract = "Considering the actual scenario of contemporary global climate changes and their possible influence on forest fires, the connections between temperature changes and precipitations on fires have been examined in Deliblatska pescara. The basic characteristics of fires have been analyzed in the area which is considered the most endangered in Serbia. The decreasing trend of annual number of fires was ascertained for period the 1948-2002. However, the trend of annual temperature and precipitation changes is not in accordance with the trend of annual number of fires. Some seasonal aspects related with the change of climate elements cannot also explain the decreasing number of fires. A rising trend of annual fire spread surface have been ascertained, which is in accordance with air temperature rise at the end of the 20th century. However, five extreme values were far above the upper standard deviation, which was explained by non climate factors (increase of surface under pine trees, mistakes during fire extinguishing and similar).",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić'",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara",
pages = "59-73",
number = "58",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12539"
}

Ducić, V., Milenković, M.,& Radovanović, M.. (2008). Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić'.(58), 59-73.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12539

Ducić V, Milenković M, Radovanović M. Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2008;(58):59-73.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12539 .

Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, Radovanović, Milan, "Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, no. 58 (2008):59-73,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12539 .