Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations
Апстракт
In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area... of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.
Кључне речи:
forest fires / Finland / NAO / AO / Lomb periodogramИзвор:
Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 2019, 69, 1, 75-82Издавач:
- Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
Финансирање / пројекти:
- Географија Србије (RS-MESTD-Integrated and Interdisciplinary Research (IIR or III)-47007)
DOI: 10.2298/IJGI1901075M
ISSN: 0350-7599
WoS: 000465325800007
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85067408621
Институција/група
Географски институт „Јован Цвијић“ САНУ / Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijić SASATY - JOUR AU - Milenković, Milan AU - Ducić, Vladan AU - Mihajlović, Jovan AU - Burić, Dragan AU - Babić, Violeta PY - 2019 UR - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12582 AB - In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland. PB - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd T2 - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU T1 - Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations SP - 75 EP - 82 VL - 69 IS - 1 DO - 10.2298/IJGI1901075M UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582 ER -
@article{ author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Babić, Violeta", year = "2019", abstract = "In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.", publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd", journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU", title = "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations", pages = "75-82", volume = "69", number = "1", doi = "10.2298/IJGI1901075M", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582" }
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Burić, D.,& Babić, V.. (2019). Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 69(1), 75-82. https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582
Milenković M, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Burić D, Babić V. Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2019;69(1):75-82. doi:10.2298/IJGI1901075M https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Babić, Violeta, "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 69, no. 1 (2019):75-82, https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M ., https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12582 .