Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)
Abstract
The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using the dendrochronological method in drought prediction in eastern Bosnia. As an indicator of drought, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used. In the wider area of Rogatica (eastern Bosnia), 11 core samples from trees were taken. The best connection between the width of tree rings and drought was shown by the sample of a 67-year-old European silver fir (Abies alba) from the mountain Boksanica. Removal of the biological trend (standardization) was performed by the autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) method. Calculations showed that precipitation, i.e. drought in the summer months, is crucial for radial increment of the sample. The obtained results of our research have been confirmed in examples in the region and further.
Keywords:
dendrochronology / tree-ring width / fir / standardized precipitation index (SPI) / RogaticaSource:
Archives of Biological Sciences, 2015, 67, 1, 201-211Publisher:
- Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.
Funding / projects:
- Geography of Serbia (RS-MESTD-Integrated and Interdisciplinary Research (IIR or III)-47007)
DOI: 10.2298/ABS141114025D
ISSN: 0354-4664
WoS: 000352003500022
Scopus: 2-s2.0-84937400428
Institution/Community
Географски институт „Јован Цвијић“ САНУ / Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijić SASATY - JOUR AU - Ducić, Vladan AU - Ivanović, Rade AU - Mihajlović, Jovan AU - Gnjato, Rajko AU - Trbić, Goran AU - Ćurčić, Nina PY - 2015 UR - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/12565 AB - The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using the dendrochronological method in drought prediction in eastern Bosnia. As an indicator of drought, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used. In the wider area of Rogatica (eastern Bosnia), 11 core samples from trees were taken. The best connection between the width of tree rings and drought was shown by the sample of a 67-year-old European silver fir (Abies alba) from the mountain Boksanica. Removal of the biological trend (standardization) was performed by the autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) method. Calculations showed that precipitation, i.e. drought in the summer months, is crucial for radial increment of the sample. The obtained results of our research have been confirmed in examples in the region and further. PB - Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr. T2 - Archives of Biological Sciences T1 - Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia) SP - 201 EP - 211 VL - 67 IS - 1 DO - 10.2298/ABS141114025D UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12565 ER -
@article{ author = "Ducić, Vladan and Ivanović, Rade and Mihajlović, Jovan and Gnjato, Rajko and Trbić, Goran and Ćurčić, Nina", year = "2015", abstract = "The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using the dendrochronological method in drought prediction in eastern Bosnia. As an indicator of drought, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used. In the wider area of Rogatica (eastern Bosnia), 11 core samples from trees were taken. The best connection between the width of tree rings and drought was shown by the sample of a 67-year-old European silver fir (Abies alba) from the mountain Boksanica. Removal of the biological trend (standardization) was performed by the autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) method. Calculations showed that precipitation, i.e. drought in the summer months, is crucial for radial increment of the sample. The obtained results of our research have been confirmed in examples in the region and further.", publisher = "Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.", journal = "Archives of Biological Sciences", title = "Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)", pages = "201-211", volume = "67", number = "1", doi = "10.2298/ABS141114025D", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12565" }
Ducić, V., Ivanović, R., Mihajlović, J., Gnjato, R., Trbić, G.,& Ćurčić, N.. (2015). Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia). in Archives of Biological Sciences Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.., 67(1), 201-211. https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS141114025D https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12565
Ducić V, Ivanović R, Mihajlović J, Gnjato R, Trbić G, Ćurčić N. Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia). in Archives of Biological Sciences. 2015;67(1):201-211. doi:10.2298/ABS141114025D https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12565 .
Ducić, Vladan, Ivanović, Rade, Mihajlović, Jovan, Gnjato, Rajko, Trbić, Goran, Ćurčić, Nina, "Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)" in Archives of Biological Sciences, 67, no. 1 (2015):201-211, https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS141114025D ., https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_dais_12565 .